<p>That is, circumstantially, HMC's yield should be around 0.29
If you swap E and B for student X, B's mean probability goes to 0.20 and E's goes to 0.52.</p>
<p>What school is E? I've been thinking about the top engineering pool/schools. Is E MIT? What is MIT's yield rate for tech people? Roughly 50%?</p>
<p>The MIT yield rate this year was about 66.7%, trailing only HYPS. I would imagine that the yield rate for the (fairly large subset) who are, to use your phrase, "tech people" is somewhat higher.</p>
<p>I note that they achieved this yield rate without relying on the binding ED crutch. </p>
<p>Furthermore, they share a common admit pool, to a substantial extent, with the other high-yield schools - meaning that they pretty much wipe up the floor with everybody else.</p>
<p>they also had a unique year in the media spotlight with the pranking/hacking. as you can see from my model on the previous page, the perceived ranking is the main weighting in the simulation.</p>
<p>i'm not surprised that the yield jumped something like 8% this year.</p>
<p>It didn't jump. Indeed, it declined a hair from 67% for the Class of 2009.</p>
<p>well, 2003/2004 was 58%</p>
<p>At that point, Harvard was still an open EA school and sharing a larger overlap pool with MIT, of which it took the lion's share. MIT's EA yield rate has gone up since them.</p>
<p>Quoted by Alexandre:
"HMC's yield rate is due to the fact that its admissions standards are so high, that their admitted students usually have acceptances from other top Engineering programs like Caltech, MIT, Stanford, Rice, Cal and Princeton. But don't let that yield rate fool you. Even Caltech has a yield rate of roughly 35% and Carnegie mellon's yield rate is under 25%. So yield and quality aren't related. HMC is the real deal."</p>
<p>It is true that there are good schools which, for good or for ill, serve largely as backups for other schools which for various reasons may be deemed more desirable. </p>
<p>Tufts is another example of a good school with a low yield rate because it serves, to a substantial degree, as a first (or second, or third) choice backup to other institutions higher up the academic food chain.</p>
<p>This is not the worst fate, of course. As a former admissions dean at Amherst famously observed: "We've been living off the rejects of Harvard, Yale, and Princeton for two hundred years and doing very well."</p>
<p>hey guys, my school was recently visited by admissions at UPENN. I asked them is they plan to abolish ED/EA, and they said no, they will still have that option available...that means 1 Ivy with ED.:)</p>
<p>PS sry if this info was already posted, i didn't bother to read all 15 pages.</p>
<p>When kids use ED strategically they often apply to a match rather than to a reach. They lose the chance to go to their
dream school in order to allow schools a device to pad thier yield.</p>
<p>unfortunately, it's not looking like much of a trend anymore - it's been almost a month now since UVA did away with ED. too bad yale's prez lacks the courage of his (oft-trumpeted) convictions on the matter.</p>
<p>"yale to continue early action":</p>
<p>lack of courage, confirmed. the backpedal:</p>
<p>In an interview for the January-February edition of the Yale Alumni Magazine, Levin said the situation has changed since he stated in 2002 that he would like to see early admissions eliminated everywhere. </p>
<p>"I emphasized that every school would have to eliminate early admissions to achieve the desired result. But this is very unlikely to happen," Levin said. "If Yale were to eliminate early admissions now, it is most likely that we would end up with a system where the top three or five schools had no early program, and just about everybody else did. That wouldn't solve many problems and would create some new ones."</p>