This is a long post because my best friend’s son last year, who did have a couple of Bs on his transcript, only applied to top 20 schools last year and was rejected from all of them. He is at community college now. I want everyone to have a balanced list!! Shoot for the stars, but have some more realistic options too.
My 2022 son’s stats sounds somewhat like your daughter (although he did not take as many APs/IBs), and we did not see him as competitive for T20 schools because he is a generic white kid from the suburbs who is not a legacy, not first gen, and not a recruited athlete. He is a very, very good student but doesn’t have the hook or over-the-top academics you need to get into T20s if you aren’t hooked (his public high school has SO MANY mediocre students who go to top schools as athletes - it is infuriating!). He has applied this year with just one B+ (a GPA of 3.97: weighted 4.33), 9 APs/honors courses, test optional, top 10% of graduating class, unique and deep ECs, as well as athletics and clubs. Our daughter is at a T20 school (Princeton), and we knew what it took to get in there, and it was just out of reach for our son. But honestly, he would have been swallowed up at most T20 schools even if he could have gotten in. In my opinion - and I know it is debatable - the point of college is not to just go to the highest ranked one you can get in to, but to have a good learning and social experience, feel successful, and graduate (I went to Stanford and it was an awful experience because Stanford is focused primarily on its graduate programs and I felt so “less than” than all of the other kids - and this was back in the 80s). I didn’t want that for my son (for my daughter ant Princeton, we knew she could hold her own). Absolutely pick a couple of T20 schools and cross your fingers, but I would include mostly T21 and lower range on her list, unless your daughter has something unique (legacy, athlete, first gen, etc.). My son is interested in mechanical engineering, and the top ranked schools on his list are University of Rochester (already admitted - we are thrilled), Case Western (already admitted - we are thrilled), Lafayette, Lehigh, Boston University, Purdue, USC, Villanova. There are other “safeties” too. We live in CA and didn’t even bother with the UCs because there is no way he would have gotten into UCLA, the only one he is interested in, from his high school. We too did not want him at the UCs where resources (faculty, classes, housing) are already stretched to the limit and are only going to get worse these next few years as the UC system has been “ordered” to admit more students, even though they don’t have the capacity to educate them (I have held an academic position in the UC system for 20 years, so my concerns are more than just sour grapes about my kids not being good enough for UCLA). Your daughter sounds AWESOME, just as my son is, and we think he is going to have a great college experience, just as I suspect your daughter will.