Just caught up on this thread. A few thoughts, as someone educated at elite schools and currently working in academia (not in the US, but AA is an issue here as well, albeit to a lesser extent and in different forms than in the US).
One point that I think has been obscured in this thread is the considerable difference between opposing AA in principle and opposing AA as it is or may be practiced by certain schools in certain cases.
Once we are operating in a system of holistic admissions, considering the race of applicants makes perfect sense. Though I disagree with those who believe admissions should be almost exclusively based on tests and scores, that is a coherent position that I can understand and respect. I do not think that it is logically consistent to support other kinds of non-merit based admissions preferences but oppose considering race.
I am not simply talking here about the usual suspects of legacy and sports, which are controversial in their own right, but about assessments that would be broadly considered more benign. Take two students of comparable merit. Based on scores and grades, both could easily get into the school, but given the admissions odds, at a school that rejects the vast majority of applicants, neither is likely to. Neither has overwhelmingly impressive academic achievements outside of the grade/score metric; neither has a particularly interesting personal story; both are white girls from suburban Connecticut. The major EC for both is vocal music, in which their achievements are significant but not extraordinary enough to make them obvious admits. The only difference is that girl 1’s area of music is musical theater, and girl 2’s is classical opera.
There is nothing intrinsically meritorious in focusing in opera rather than musical theater. However, I’d wager that schools see a lot more applicants whose dream is Broadway than whose dream is the Met or La Scala. So, girl 2 gets admitted, and girl 1 gets denied – for a reason that has nothing to do with academic achievement, and everything to do with institutional interest in the candidate with a rarer profile.
It is true that race, unlike musical area of interest, is a category that gets strict scrutiny, and with good reason. But strict scrutiny does not mean “unjustifiable in all cases.” To me, the same interest in having a diverse (in all senses of the word) student body that would justify preferring a student with a rare hobby over a student with a common hobby or a student from a rural background from a student from a suburban one justifies preferring a student from a racial or ethnic background that is not as prevalent in elite colleges to one from a background that is highly common in elite colleges.
That is a different matter than substantially lowering admissions standards purely because of race (or gender, or geography). Taking into consideration obstacles to achievement like poverty, attending a failing school district, growing up with parents with limited educational attainment, etc. makes perfect sense, of course, but while I’m not going to claim a wealthy black student in a suburban high school never faces discrimination, I am unpersuaded that this is a barrier to success in any way comparable to growing up poor or otherwise disadvantaged. So, I have zero problem with the notion that a middle-class African-American student with a 1530/top 5 % of competitive HS class is going to be very likely to get into HYP, while a white or Asian student with that profile is going to be very likely to be denied. I do have a problem with a middle-class African American student with a 1450/top 10 % of competitive HS class being admitted to HYP, since at that point we’re holding the student to a totally different set of standards. He or she will probably do fine at Harvard, but it isn’t fair.
That being said - I don’t know (and I don’t think any of you do, either) to what extent the latter is actually happening. In order to begin to answer that question, we’d have to do a very fine grained analysis of admissions data that compared only otherwise unhooked students from similar income and educational backgrounds. Some opponents of AA seem to operate under the impression that all members of a given race are equally advantaged by the program and that admissions for white and Asian applicants isn’t taking into account factors like income and hardship. So when I see an question like, why should the black doctor’s kid get into Harvard with lower scores than the child of a dirt-poor miner from Appalachia, my answer is that we don’t know that he does, and I suspect he doesn’t.
I do suspect that because the very top schools are taking the most qualified black students, the disparities at schools a tier or two down are probably higher than I would be comfortable with. Schools a little lower in the pecking order benefit from the fact that because there are so many more qualified students than spots, they are getting tons of students every bit as good as the ones attending HYPMS. If (as I suspect) the chances that a URM applicant with a 1500 + on the SAT will get into at least one of HYP is 90 % +, that means that a Northwestern or a Wash U or even a Cornell that wants a critical mass of minorities is probably going to have to lower standards past what I think is ethical. But again, I don’t know for sure.
On the topic of Asians, my suspicion, based on what I’ve read and seen, is that they are disadvantaged, but not necessarily by as much as some think, because again, data doesn’t account for things like overrepresentation of Asian applicants in certain geographical areas or prospective majors, or for underrepresentation of Asians among athletic and legacy admits. Controlling for those factors might yield a less dramatic picture. However, I do think that the unfair stereotype of Asian math drones probably hurts, as does concern about having too many Asians on campuses. Colleges are probably right that white students wouldn’t find overwhelmingly Asian colleges as attractive, but that isn’t a justification for discrimination. It is one thing to look for a critical mass of students from different backgrounds. There is no justification for deciding that schools have to be at least 45 to 50 % white. 20 % is also a critical mass.