<p>Which is more important in determining reach/match/safety? I know that schools admitting less than 20% are not safeties for ANYONE; the same goes for 30% admitted, I think. But what about the nebulous area between 30% and 50%? Can a school be a safety if it accepts less than half of its applicants?</p>
<p>Consider a few (okay, maybe more than a few) examples. Take my own lopsided stats--800 CR and W, 710 M--and assume decent but not outstanding ECs/essays, clear demonstrated interest. (This is not a chances thread, because my own situation is a deal more complex, but I ignore hooks/tips in favor of statistical curiosity.)</p>
<p>Pitzer: 22% AR, 580 - 690 CR, 580 - 680 M
Comments: Admits for a very small class. 40% AR just five years ago. Obviously cannot be anyone's safety, but underwhelming stats don't make the case for "everyone's reach" either. SAT-optional.</p>
<p>Scripps: 31% AR, 640 - 730 CR, 620 - 710 M, 650 - 730 W
Comments: AR may be skewed by need to balance overenrollment the previous year. Also admits for a very small class. I meet the 75th percentile in math, my lowest section score, and far exceed the other two. But 31% accepted?! ~11% drop in one year.</p>
<p>Bryn Mawr: 49% AR, 620 - 730 CR, 580 - 680 M, 620 - 710 W
Comments: Applicant pool is obviously limited by gender. Self-selection? Recently instituted "test-flexible" policy. Statistically appears to be a safety for me, but the Seven Sisters are usually considered "not safeties" in general.</p>
<p>Grinnell: 43% AR, 610 - 740 CR, 620 - 710 M
Comments: W appears to not be considered, as CB is showing -. Another school commonly cited for self-selection. I meet the math 75th percentile, but calling this a safety is arrogant.</p>
<p>Whitman: 46% AR, 630 - 730 CR, 610 - 700 M, 620 - 710 W
Comments: Self-selection--but is it less or more difficult to gain admission to than Grinnell?</p>
<p>Rochester: 43% AR, 600 - 700 CR, 620 - 730 M, 590 - 700 W
Comments: The only non-LAC examined here (hi, personal bias), and also the only one that tilts toward math/science in reputation. I'm not quite at the 75th percentile in math, but far exceed it in the humanities areas where Rochester may be recruiting.</p>
<p>Denison: 38% AR, 580 - 690 CR, 570 - 680 M
Comments: Somewhat of a statistical anomaly? CCers seem to have no problem considering Denison a safety for top-stat applicants. W not considered. SAT-optional.</p>