I strongly disagree with virtually every point made in this article. In fact, I have made a counterpoint to each of its individual points:
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We may never have a vaccine. Getting one even in the next 18 months would easily be world-record time four a vaccine.
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Actually, distance learning is causing a great deal of inequity in terms of education, and so would continuing it. The notion that we need a vaccine before going back to college (when it is not yet widespread) is rather unrealistic.
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This was posted nearly three weeks ago, and testing has rapidly been ramping up by the day; many colleges, including my own (Amherst College) are expecting to have a sufficient amount of testing in fall to test everyone when they arrive and to do tests whenever anyone feels sick, and even random tests for good measure.
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Although not anywhere near perfect, Remsedevir already appears likely to help somewhat with COVID-19. Even we can find another treatment to combine with it, it could be very effective in reducing the death and hospitalization rates.
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Everybody else in the fall will be traveling too. Since coronavirus has spread everywhere at this point, if everybody else is going to work everyday in fall, college students won’t be contributing much to the spread through travel.
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Students could be required to wear surgical masks, which many colleges (including Amherst) are acquiring in mass numbers as we type. They could require them to wear it on-campus, and only let them take off masks in their own rooms. With regard to dining halls, they could shift to a to-go model (Amherst has already done this for the 200 students staying on-campus). The HVACs system could not spread it across rooms; the droplets are too large to last that long/that distance.
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Due to rapid testing, we won’t need to do 14-day quarantines anymore. We will have tests that will have a same-day turn around, so quarantine will only need to be for a few days.
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The virus is already in every community. It will probably come to the universities (if not there already), but if both infected and healthy people wear masks, it could greatly inhibit the spread to a manageable level.
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See point 5.
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See point 7.
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Place smaller classes in larger lecture halls to allow social distancing, and limit increase the number of lab sections to reduce size; place large classes on a virtual format (in these large lecture classes, students wouldn’t be missing much anywhere if they were still on-campus in that academic environment).
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Coronaviruses (including COVID-19) are very weak, and can be killed by soap, hand sanitizer, and cleaning wipes. All students would have to do is wipe down their desks as they arrive and leave. They would also wear masks in the classroom (speaking with them may be a pain at first, but we’d adapt quickly).
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See Point 12.
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If everybody is wearing surgical masks, we will only need to isolate people who have been in close contact for a minimum of 15 minutes, and if they test negative, they can go back (maybe wait a day and test a second time for good measure). They are acquiring the means for testing, contact tracing, and isolating (through local hotels and such) as we speak.
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Instructors can teach from home while sick. Amherst is already making teaching from home for the semester an option for any professor who feels uncomfortable returning to a classroom setting.
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An education is necessary, and online education simply isn’t cutting it. Concerts and sporting events are NOT, by any means, necessary.
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Why could on-campus parties not be banned? Why would that be illegal? I don’t know what colleges that have a large proportion of students living off-campus, but Amherst has virtually all students on-campus, and is going to require students to stay on-campus in fall and not leave. Colleges aren’t responsible for anything that happens off-campus.
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At-risk students will have the option of taking time off or continuing their education remotely, in addition to the option of returning to campus, signing a liability waiver, and taking the risk. Also, as mentioned earlier, surgical masks inhibit spread too, and the death rate is still tremendously low (WAY LESS than 1%) for college-age students in at-risk groups.
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Trust me, most students my age (even ones in at-risk groups) aren’t stressed about getting coronavirus; we are way more stressed about whether we will be able to return to school in fall. If we are forced to socially isolate ourselves for another semester, I guarantee you there will be a significant spike in college-age suicides that takes the lives of significantly more college-age students than coronavirus would.
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I’m sure that next semester they would not be allowed to have strict attendance policies; even if they could, I’m sure virtually none of them would. If a student felt sick and a professor tried to penalize them, they could go to the class dean.
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I’m sure they will be flexible with exam dates given the current situation of the virus.
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Colleges will have the resources to manage outbreaks next semester and mitigate spread (testing, contact tracing, masks, PPE, quarantine facilities). Even assuming the hypothetical scenario here does happen, the financial cost from marketing would pale in comparison to how much they would lose from not reopening next semester. Also, in all likelihood, with the resources to manage outbreaks, just as much, if not more, students would probably die if they stayed at home than returned to campus (except in the case of at-risk students who stay at home if they isolate themselves; trust me, most non-immunocompromised college-age students will not be socially isolating themselves at home if forced to stay home next semester; they will probably be going out quite frequently).
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Once again, the financial cost in the hypothetical scenario in point 22 would pale in comparison to how much they would lose by not reopening next semester.
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Division I Sports programs that make major money through television rights/programs would probably take place in empty stadiums. Other sports will probably not be happening, especially in Division II and III schools.