<p>(3) For one thing, the 1984 data predates HIPAA. For another, apparently it’s somewhat frequent for hospitals to refuse to comply with medical records requests. This is partly for suspicious motives and partly because hospitals really are often incompetent at that sort of thing.</p>
<p>Obviously this is the sort of problem for which a lawsuit is not the worst outcome in the world, particularly since it will likely get dropped once the record is revealed. Still, it is very frustrating that the lawsuit usually involves the physician and is one of the reasons why docs feel that malpractice suits are essentially random and inevitable.</p>
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<p>(4) Well, maybe I wasn’t sufficiently clear. Imagine that there’s a pool of lawsuits which everybody knows aren’t meritorious – that is, they don’t involve any negligence from the physician. A negative outcome happened despite the doc doing everything right.</p>
<p>However, the attorney knows that the plaintiffs are sympathetic enough that about 20% of juries will find for them anyway – with a payout large enough to cover legal expenses for the other 80% of cases.</p>
<p>Maybe you could argue that that 20% is meritorious; I suppose it’s a subjective standard anyway. But the point is that neither the physician nor the insurance company nor the plaintiff’s attorney in my story knows which ones they’re going to be. They all just have to gamble and find that particularly sympathetic story.</p>
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<p>ATUL GAWANDE, COMPLICATIONS, 57 (2002). </p>
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<p>(6) I intended to hint at two possibilities and actually thought of revising my post.</p>
<p>(a) What if malpractice attorneys simply aren’t very good at predicting what juries will do? What if juries are just … unpredictable? With a few payouts justifying a high error rate?</p>
<p>(b) What if the legal procedures as a whole are systematically wrong? And notice that the studies push this in both directions: simultaneously too conservative and too permissive.</p>
<p>98% of patients who should sue for negligence do not. Some of these surely went to a skilled plaintiff’s lawyer who looked at the case, knew the would-be plaintiff was correct on the merits, but also knew that the plaintiff would lose anyway.</p>
<p>Meanwhile, 83% of physicians getting sued should not be. Some of these surely went to an equally skilled plaintiff’s lawyer who looked at the case, knew that the would-be defendant had done nothing incorrect, but also knew that the plaintiff would have a reasonably high expected winnings (probability of winning times expected payout).</p>
<p>Since the lawyer (1) represents the plaintiff’s interests, (2) knows that the plaintiff really needs the money, and (3) has an economic stake himself, it is easy to imagine that these cases constitute a large group of Localio and Brennan’s non-meritorious lawsuits.</p>