<p>I know that I have not really ever posted before, but I am a tripl-qd with a nom male who is waiting. Anyway, here are some of the observations I have made:</p>
<p>Last year there were 14425 applicants, of which 1951 were tripl-qd.
there were 1472 offers of admission, and 1227 were admitted. 218 came from NAPS. I am assuming that some of the appointments were given after others had been turned down.</p>
<p>From the ratio of admitted to tripl-qd, it seems that 75% will get an appointment. considering the language used by the academy, I think everyone is included into the 1951 who will get in, not only civilians. You may not have heard, but the academy applications are down to 11140 this year. I would assume that this will inevitably lead to a decline in the total number of people tripl-qd but will not affect the number admitted or offered admission. If there is even a 10% drop in people with tripl-qs then it would seem that those people have a near 85% chance of getting in. Those numbers seems pretty agreeable. Also, I think that another 200 or so will go to NAPS of those qualified. That increases my possible chances of going to 1650 out of 1750, which is almost 95%. Agreeable indeed.</p>
<p>Also, I live in Colorado. We have a total of 9 electoral college seats. I know that there are spots open for qualified candidates, but according to last year's catalogue, 68 people from Colorado are currently in attendance. We by right can send 45. That is roughly 7.5 people per seat. That means that every year, 2 people per seat will be selected to attend the academy. I know for a fact that there were only 6 people who wanted to go to USNA first in my district (THIS IS AFA COUNTRY). and considering that 2 of those people will go, and about 40% of people with nominations are tripl-qd, I would say my chances are pretty good, considering my academic, leadership, and athletic record. When I compare my statistics to the class profiles, it would seem that mine is above average.</p>
<p>I do not know if this is at all valid, but to me it makes sense. I would also like to put the best spin on things that I can and would prefer to be an optimist considering my future. I would desperately like to know if I will be accepted, but alas, the mail is empty every day. btw, do any of you know when they will really start sending out those letters. I know people who have gone to AFA and WP, and they all said that virtually noone heard until late February, early March, but few people were alerted after that. Oh well...</p>