Stony Brook Class of 2023 - What are my chances of getting in?

I have about a 4.0 gpa which is 93 gpa weighted and 1220 SAT. I have 4 recommendation letters and 1 solid college essay for the common app, except for my other 2 supplement essay which are not for Stony Brook. I am in the varsity male swim team at my school for 2 years, nyc park swim team for 5 years, and vice president during senior year for the Christian Seeker Club for 3 years. I currently volunteer at my church’s children worship program and VBS summer program. My ethnicity is Asian American if that helps as well. I applied around January 12th couple days before the day deadline, January 15,2019. I have taken 3 APs as a junior ( US History, English Language, Biology) and now take 5 APs as a senior ( Physics 1, Calculus AB, Computer Science Principles, English Literature, and US Government and Politics). I also have taken 4 college now classes( College and Career Development, Science, Pre-Calc, and Intro to Business). Will I have a good chance of getting into Stony Brook?