<p>I find it interesting that once you step outside of the "top tier" of schools, the statistics and whatnot lag. Harvard will immediately release its latest acceptance percentages, but UCSC takes a while.</p>
<p>For example, UCSC's admission rate in 2003 was 79% (83% for UCR), but in 2004 UCSC admitted only ~63% (don't have numbers off-hand for UCR). The days of 90% admissions in the UC-system are over, even for the "lesser" UCs. CCC transfer admissions are, of course, not applicable here. ;)</p>
<p>I find it interesting that the statistics become everything, and wonder if anyone would ever really care if the Ivy League schools dropped out of the top 25. I'm sure someone, somewhere would -- "Oh, those are the /old/ good schools," -- but I can only imagine how much of a lag it would be before the reality caught up with the hype. (Not that the Ivies are on their way out or anything!)</p>
<p>Zagat brings up an interesting point; those consolatory "we're sorry, we don't have room for you" letters of rejection cite that somewhere in the neighborhood of 80% of their applicants could've succeeded. Well, that means 20% of their applicants couldn't've! That a large number of people who were entirely unrealistic about their options, and probably did apply because they were "forced" to, whether by pressure from family and friends or by internal pressure from the need to apply just because, to any number of other things I can't think of off the top of my head.</p>
<p>Hype means a lot. I don't think it matters to many people who apply to the most selective schools that there are less selective schools; it doesn't matter that applying even without intent to enroll, even without hope of being admitted, will increase the chances (ironically) that they won't get in. In a rather twisted way, it follows the maxim I've seen around that "you miss 100% of the shots you don't take" -- ie, How do you know if you wouldn't've gotten into Harvard if you hadn't applied? Not to mention that it looks that much better to the people who care that they were one of only <10% of students admitted.</p>
<p>I don't think this is going anywhere, especially with all the talk of jobs being outsourced and the fierce competition for the "desireable" jobs: just as with college admissions, people are always going to be searching for an edge, and you're kidding yourself if you think that "Graduated with a B.A. in <x> from Harvard University" doesn't mean anything, though that isn't to say that everyone who graduates from Harvard is guaranteed success and that everyone who doesn't is guaranteed failure. As with the whole college process in general, it's just one more factor on the road to that nebulus thing called "success."</x></p>