<p>Interesting article in the Yale Daily:</p>
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...One inherent problem with predicting yield is that each year, the profile of the applicant pool changes significantly from the previous year, said Dean Jacoby, director of college counseling at the private Choate Rosemary Hall in Wallingford, Conn.</p>
<p>Though more Choate students are applying early to Yale this year, Jacoby said the decisions were based on a variety of individual factors, not just the inability to apply early to Harvard or Princeton. And Jacoby said he thinks Yales yield might actually go up this year, because of the positive connection students form with a school once they are accepted early one that is difficult to shake, even if they are accepted elsewhere regular decision.</p>
<p>For four or five months, students are picturing themselves at Yale or wearing Yale sweatshirts, Jacoby said. Any other school has to knock that early school off the pedestal.</p>
<p>The difference in the predictions made by high school guidance counselors that yield will either stay the same or increase and those made by consultants that yield will go down might result from different attitudes towards applying early. Most of the nine high school guidance counselors interviewed said they encouraged students to apply early only if the school was their clear first choice.</p>
<p>Reider said he went one step further actively discouraging some students from applying early.</p>
<p>We try to hold people back, and were tickled like anything when kids hold themselves back, Reider said. Its just a myth that you have an advantage when you apply early. ...</p>
<p>In some ways it would have been perhaps preferable if students who are looking at the top schools would be able to say, I cant make any decisions early, Jacoby said. Then they could make more long-term decisions. College rarely offers that to students. It more often has a do-it-now pressure.
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<p>Yale</a> Daily News - Yale uncertain about early yield</p>