@CE527M Mizzou is the state flagship university, any slight declines would have impacted the directional schools far more than the main campus. That’s really spin by admissions.
Freshman Enrollment has recently fluctuated at Mizzou, but the trend has been up. The number that have applied has increased each year since 2007-08 (until this year reversed the trend).
2005-06: 4,718 (328 Black, non-Hispanic): Number that applied: 12,404
06-07: 4,838 (355) Number that applied: 13,102
07-08: 4,982 (332) Number that applied: 12,089
08-09: 5,782 (422) Number that applied: 14,491
09-10: 5,569 (482) Number that applied: 16,436
10-11: 6,089 (532) Number that applied: 17,465
11-12: 6,138 (535) Number that applied: 18,125
12-13: 6,501 (657) Number that applied: 20,564
13-14: 6,194 (582) Number that applied: 20,956
14-15: 6,515 (552) Number that applied: 21,163
15-16: 6,191 (509) Number that applied: 21,988
http://ir.missouri.edu/data-set/
If enrollment ends up being less than it was in 2006-07 (assuming 6,200-1,500=4,700), then you really have to point to CS1950 for the drop, not state demographics.
Keep in mind that Mizzou will now be short 1,500 for the next 4 or 5 years, as this cohort moves toward graduation. The financial pain will be long lasting.
Since many of the students they lost were part of the higher performing cohort, it also will end up hitting Mizzou’s rankings in 2017 (or 2018). However, at this point that really doesn’t matter, compared to the financial impacts.
By the way, earlier Admissions said applications are down by a bit less than 5%. How does that lead to a 1,500 drop in enrollment? A lot of folks must have applied in the fall, and then after the negative press, decide not to accept an offer Yield must have tanked, and that has nothing to do with the number of high school grads being down.