This is largely a matter of opinion and personal decision making…
I don’t think there will be a 2020-2021 USA Fencing season. Certainly not in any form to which we have become accustomed. I don’t see how the entire NCAA fencing season shuts down, there will be all manner of suspensions for FIE fencing, and yet USA Fencing will hold NACs. Full disclosure, I have been in the camp that there won’t be a 2020 Olympic Games, even in 2021, since before they were officially postponed.
Cheap as air fare is, there’s a reason for that. I personally would not book any tickets in anticipation of a NAC. Don’t think they are going to happen. Don’t think you will get COVID refunds or waiver of change fees.
Hotel stays, at least for a couple of days, are considered among the safer activities in the current environment. With bars, gyms, and theater/stadium events at the danger end of the spectrum. Don’t see a difference between the USA Fencing housing bloc and doing this on your own, unless you prefer to stay apart, perhaps even in an Airbnb.
College coaches are being forced to work with new calculus. I don’t think the lack of active rankings affects the top recruits. Everyone knows who they are and what they have accomplished. Trajectory will be a big factor in assessing fencers outside of the top recruits. There is no way to substantively make the case based on rank/rating other than trajectory. Reputable personal coach recommendation may help in this regard.
Lack of equity is always a factor in a sport as expensive as fencing. Issues relating to soaring travel expenses, while perhaps more dire under the current circumstances, are nothing new. Just ask all of the West Coast parents who perennially complain about the disproportionate number of national events east of the Rockies.
If competitive were to continue on a smaller scale, those regional and even local events could act as filler for at least the rating piece. But I doubt those events will rise to the prominence of national events. The competition pool is usually very diluted.
As with the personal coach recommendation, as a prospective recruit, I would pull out all the stops in terms of what a college coach can tangibly evaluate. In a vacuum of active ranking/rating, with perhaps no tournaments at which to view fencers firsthand, personal coach recommendations, video, and other forms of bringing oneself to the attention of a college coach may prove much more potent. A lot of coaches will tell you that, outside of the top recruits, they are not always looking for a “finished product.” They are looking for potential. Video can surely convey this.
My main insights from college coaches is that recruiting is continuing apace. The metrics are a bit different for those out of the top recruiting range, but trajectory is a factor, as well as video, personal coach recommendations, and other less often considered metrics.
These are great things to consider!