I wouldn’t rule out “social engineering” on the part of UChicago in this new admissions plan. They are as eager as anyone else to get demographic, income, sexual, and unique talent diversity. It’s quite possible that this new plan will result in MORE rather than LESS diversity, because the AO now knows which accepted kids need the heavy recruitment and incentive to come to UChicago and can target/throw resources that way more effectively. There is a lot of good in revealing just how much to wish to come to the school, if the school thinks that is a #1 factor in whether you should be admitted.
Rest assured that if every hooked candidate happened to have applied ED, the number of EA accepts would likely have been “0”. Colleges love to publish the percentage of low income/first generation/URM/special talent enrollees. They also would have bragged that they were able to achieve this exclusively with the ED pool.
The biggest complaint that everyone has about ED is that it tends to “discriminate” against low or middle income families due to perceived lack of decent aid. However, if UChicago has increased its need-based aid to generous levels (which it claims to have done and, at least in our case, surpassed expectations), then where is the “discrimination”? At some level, finances simply aren’t the primary decider, even for those with modest budgets. And admissions at this level are becoming harder for everyone, not just the rich.
One final thought: I have a young relative who announced a public intent to commit to a HYP athletic program in SOPHOMORE YEAR OF HIGH SCHOOL - 18 months before a likely letter could be expected. That’s the way it’s done in this particular sport. There was a press release etc. A very big deal. Thing is - it’s a very one-sided process. The athlete publicly “commits” but the school is effectively noncommittal till fall of senior year. The family is aware of at least two others who found that the school in question didn’t need them after all (despite private assurances on the part of the coach). One landed at a lower Ivy, one did not (and missed out on other programs offering serious merit aid for athletes). Please tell me, all of you who claim that ED robs young people of choice, how you would view this situation. And it’s best not to assume that all three families have/had scads of money to be able to shoot for Ivy’s under these circumstances. A) that’s not true and B) what does wealth matter when the school that’s been stringing you along and requires a public intent to commit drops you like a hot potato (after 95% of team selections nationwide have already taken place).