@noah2425 Your chances based sorely on scores seem high for all UC’s. But it all boils down to the schools vision and fit for you, and how well do other app aspects offset or supplement this.
Its all a gamble ultimately, for top schools, and for many low/reach schools to especially if they follow overqualified reject policies.
I know it is hard, but I think we all need to stop with the ‘chance me’ comments only because the UCs have been so incredibly unpredictable this year. Everyone here has a reason to be admitted to these schools, but ultimately like people have said, it’s a gamble! We only have a few days and it’s done, we will know the outcome, so let’s remain optimistic and hopefully everyone ends up happy, no matter where you end up!
It’s a lottery!
Heres a sliver of how the UCs do applications, I read this somewhere and its very similar to what Harvard does. This is my take on the system:
SCALE - 1 - Best of the Best → 5 - Red Flag
4 Categories (5 for Ivies):
Academics:
Extracurriculars
Personal Qualities
Essays:
Recommendations (Usually in Ivy league admissions, but not UCs)
Hooks (Not a category but could influence your application positively):
Note: If you score a average of 2 or 2.5, your chances of being admitted to Berkeley is very high. If you score around a 1-2, this is generally the range for Ivy League level students.
@noah2425 My mom is convinced I’m gonna be the first female president!
@TheBeyonder - that’s probably a good general list of criteria that a UC would use for scoring an applicant. However, there are weights assigned, depending on the school. For example, UC-Berkeley from what I’ve heard assigns anywhere from 60-70% of the grade (so to speak) on academics, whereas it sounds like a school like UCSB might only assign 50%.
@TheBeyonder for UCLA count academics three times then average over 6. they seem to care a lot about test scores and gpa
Hey, for all of you anxiously waiting: don’t worry about not being accepted to other schools! Last year I was rejected by UCLA and UCI and accepted as a Regent Scholar to Cal. Best of luck to you all!
@LincolnsGF great, but we don’t want to wait that long 
be the second or third!
@TheBeyonder UC’s do it differently. they dont have that assigned number to each category. THats assigned to Harvard and the ivies.
THey cant do the same thing. Any UC is not Harvard Caliber, and values academics (the numbers on ur app) more than the other parts. Like @Gandalf1414 said
I agree with the statements though, to some extent.
There’s still a blurred line here, mainly as the statements are open to interpretation (most), and has some errors.
For example: If an app has a NGO and does like normal school clubs, do you rank them as 1 or 3 or an avg since they do both? its unclear and you can never assume in such arbitrary college processes.
Hey guys! Junior at Cal here, I remember going through all the highs and lows of college acceptance season and just wanted to give you guys some optimism! It’s all going to work out — and if it’s not Berkeley, it will be somewhere else fantastic and well suited for your needs. One thing about the portal/addresses debacle — I remember going through the same thing on a different college confidential thread a while back. I came to the conclusion that while the address change is weird, it probably means nothing (and there is no way to tell). However, a few days (maybe a week?) before I was admitted, after doing some desperate, late night sleuthing online, I found out that I was able to (somehow) make a UCB email address and login to my CalCentral. Maybe an hour before decisions were released I got the “welcome to Berkeley” and “orientation” notifications on my CalCentral, which was probably the closest you can get to finding out early. I was not convinced in the moment that creating a berkeley.edu email was indicative of anything, but it retrospect, I think it probably was. It is still the same email I use today, so I never had to change/alter it in any way — the system just recognized me a week or so early. I also was able to see (in my CalCentral finances) a $250 charge for the enrollment deposit (there’s a formal name for this I’m not remembering). I hope this helps! I really wanted to know all these things a few years back…I don’t know if/how things have changed but I do know that that is how it worked when I applied and was admitted. Either way, you have all done an incredible amount of work to get to this place and no ONE SCHOOL will ever make/break your life. Successful, happy people come from all over the place and the vast majority do not have UC degrees.
Don’t spend time worrying about stats because your guess is probably not in line with admissions…it is a gamble!
Have fun! Enjoy your senior year! Good luck to all and if you end up here in Berkeley, we are so happy to have you.
Portal changed from 2 to 4 addresses for the first time today. I know it probably doesn’t mean anything, but theoretically it could mean the applicant being entered into two groups, i.e. the applicant group and now something else… Could be admitted, could be some group of financial aid or scholarship, could be certain colleges within Cal. Who knows, right?
@collegemom111111 Can you try logging in to https://calcentral.berkeley.edu/ using the same credentials that you use to check status? You will have to click “Sign In with MAP@Berkeley ID”.
Does it show Unrecognized Login after logging in?
probs rejected—I have an unrecognized login thing when I try calcentral
@taloolab Doesn’t mean that yet. It’s likely that everyone will get this. Now, if some people are able to see something else, then it’s likely a rejection. CalCentral credit goes to @gobears444
@xceptionunhandle I tried it and am unrecognized too.
@collegemom111111 Then 4 address thing may not mean anything related to being admitted.
My Son’s portal changed to 4 addresses too for the 1st time (we checked constantly back in Jan/Feb when the early admits rolled out and it never changed to 4 addresses back then. This may mean nothing, but now I’m freaking out anyway…
Guys it might not be active yet! I just kept trying and it just ended up working. I couldnt tell you the exact path I took to get there (because it was years ago) but I know that it worked that way for me. Don’t rule anything out yet. You have a week! Keep being patient and trust yourself.
I tried to log in to https://calcentral.berkeley.edu/ using the same credentials that I use to check status, and click on “Sign In with MAP@Berkeley ID”, it takes me to the MAP@Berkley log in page.