<p>These have been posted or referred to in threads, but from the continued chancing threads, I thought a ‘named’ thread might be helpful.</p>
<p>Note that these are students who actually turned up in the fall, and the gpa may include senior year (unclear about that.) I’m pretty sure it is gpa as that campus calculates gpa (which seems to slightly vary.) These are lower than the gpas etc of ‘accepted’ students because some of the accepted students with the highest stats end up going elsewhere. I am going to put one of these in each campus forum.</p>
<p>too late to change the post. I believe it is how many were admitted of the applicants in a ‘band of stats’ who applied, not necessarily who showed up. (I.e. I am not sure if ‘admitted’ means were accepted or who actually turned up in the fall.)</p>
<p>That is how many they accepted not as many as showed up, they accepted way more than their entire size of entering class from that group. They know statistically how many of that group do and don’t show up. I suspect the lower gpas and sats are more likely to end up showing up if accepted which would be one reason they accept fewer of those if they are looking for some specific ultimate balance in the fall freshman class. </p>
<p>But to me it shows as well as I’ve seen anywhere a student’s likelihood of being accepted in the first place with specific stats (nevermind where they ultimately go). Of course it doesn’t take into account that some majors are harder to get into in some schools than others.</p>
<p>That graph seems to take its data from the prior year’s UCD student profile. What I posted is how many were admitted from each statistically grouped group of applicants for the Fall 2013 entering class (regardless of whether they showed up). The graph is another way to view it, but for me, if I am looking at what chance does my kid have with X stats, the numerical break down by percentages is helpful. I hadn’t seen a version of the graph with such recent numbers as 2012 before though, so thanks for posting that!</p>
<p>Collegevetting,
That is exactly what I am inteested in as well.
Based on your chance evaluation, what would be the statistical probalility for a kid with following stats?
ACT:35
UC GPA: 4.1
A-G clasees: 47
honours classes : more than 15</p>
<p>I’d say that puts him in all the best chance groups, so that given the information we have, his chances are very good. From my link, over 87% of those with gpa of 4.0 or above were accepted (and I believe that means as the school calculates it, which is rumored at to be UC uncapped once the admission ‘eligibility’ threshold is reached.) Some of those who were not accepted had to have lower ACT scores than the top group, whereas your kid seems to be in the top group there, as well. However, nothing is certain, obviously. The program he applied to, whether Davis thinks HE would accept THEIR offer… other things play into it.</p>
<p>The more information we have on their thinking the better, though!</p>
<p>Thanks collegevetting.
I came to the same conclusion that he may have 87% chance based on GPA. It is good to know that they use uncapped GPA once the eligibility is established. Do they use the uncapped 9-11 or just 10 and 11?</p>
<p>Re: 9-11 vs 10-11, I’m not sure. I think it is 10-11, but I don’t know. I’m sure they LOOK at everything, but I think only UCLA is really clear on this point. The rest is rumor, by the time I get it.</p>