<p>good. Here's a summary</p>
<p>The following is an excerpt from a previous issue of The Long Term View. To see the full article, please visit our Subscriptions page.</p>
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<p>For many high school seniors, D-Day is fast approaching-the Decision Day for choosing which college to attend. Few decisions cause so much anxiety and grief for students and their families. Our research suggests that everyone should relax. The consequences of being rejected from or choosing not to attend an elite school are often vastly exaggerated. </p>
<p>Rather than considering a college's prestige, students should consider how well their goals and interests mesh with a school's strengths and weaknesses. Furthermore, because so many students attend graduate or professional school after college, the choice of undergraduate institution is less significant than it used to be. </p>
<p>Consider Steven Spielberg. Rejected by his top choices, USC and UCLA film schools, he attended Cal State Long Beach. It is unlikely he would have been a more successful filmmaker had he attended one of the prestigious schools that rejected him. A study of ours about to be published in the Quarterly Journal of Economics suggests that Spielberg is not an isolated example.</p>
<p>But don't graduates of top schools earn more than those who attended less selective schools? Yes. In fact, according to the College and Beyond Survey, data collected by the Mellon Foundation, the average student who entered a highly selective college like Yale, Swarthmore, or Princeton in 1976 earned $92,000 in 1995. The average student from a moderately selective college like Penn State, Denison, or Tulane earned $22,000 less.
The problem with these statistics, however, is that they compare apples and oranges-the students who apply to and are accepted by the elite schools, on average, have more potential than the average student who attends a less selective school. The relevant question, then, is how much money would those talented students who make the cut at Yale or Swarthmore earn if they chose to attend a less prestigious school, say their flagship state university?</p>
<p>To answer this question, we used College and Beyond data to compare the earnings of students who applied to and were accepted by similarly selective colleges. Some students chose to attend more selective schools, some less selective ones. But all were similarly talented in the eyes of the admissions committees. </p>
<p>When we did this, we found that students who were accepted by similar schools had similar average earnings in 1995, regardless of the prestige of the school they actually attended. Indeed, students who were accepted by the most selective schools but attended only a moderately selective one had slightly higher earnings than those who actually attended the very selective school-$91,000 versus $90,000.</p>