University of Wisconsin-Madison Chances

I’m a high school senior from northern VA at a competitive high school. I was deferred early action for UW Madison college of letters & science.
4.0 Weighted GPA
1370 SAT
A lot of community involvement and extra curriculars
2 sport athlete

I wrote the admissions rep an email and submitted an additional essay after I was deferred. What are my chances of getting in RD?

Unweighted GPA is all that matters. Out of state unweighted will be close to a 4.0 I would assume for this class.