<p>Blah2009,</p>
<p>Are you sure the numbers you’re comparing for John Hopkins and UC Berkeley (post #156) are for the same year? I have my doubts. If not, they’re not comparable. In 2013 law school applications fell off a cliff, forcing law schools to go deeper into a smaller applicant pool, dragging down LSAT and GPA medians. But even apart from that, these figures sometimes swing considerably from year to year.</p>
<p>Even if they are for the same year, I wouldn’t read too much into those figures. The UC Berkeley numbers for 2012 admits to top law schools are right about where you’d expect them, i.e., at or slightly above the enrolled first-year student LSAT and GPA medians for each law school. The JHU numbers appear to be slightly below the LSAT medians for most of the law schools cited, and well below the GPA medians. But we’re operating in a very small-N environment here: JHU shows 14 admits to Michigan, 10 to Columbia, 10 to UCLA, 5 to Harvard, 5 to UC Berkeley. With such small numbers, it’s entirely possible that just a couple of URM candidates with stats toward the lower end of the admit range for these schools got the benefit of the doubt and pulled down JHU’s average LSAT and/or GPAs for admitted students. </p>
<p>I have several good friends who are law professors, and I’ve actually spoken to several law school deans about law school admissions in the course of investigating this for my daughter, who has expressed some interest in law school. The consistent message I get is this: except for Yale and Stanford Law Schools and to a lesser extent Harvard Law School, law school admissions is now strictly a numbers game, driven by intense competition for US News law school rankings. One of the few variables top law schools feel they have some control over is admission statistics. Top LSAT scores are rarer than top GPAs, and they count for more in the rankings, so the fiercest competition is for top LSAT scores. And if you look at the posted medians, you’ll see there’s a pretty sharp drop-off even among T-15 law schools: #1 Yale’s LSAT median is 173, equaled by #2 Harvard. But #3 Stanford is at 170, #4 Columbia 172, #4 Chicago and #6 NYU at 171, #7 Penn and #7 UVA at 170, #9 Michigan at 169, #9 UC Berkeley at 167, and so on.</p>
<p>But they also need to keep up their GPA medians, which count for a bit less but still a lot in the rankings. At the top, Yale doesn’t need to worry; it gets so many high-LSAT/high GPA applicants and such a high yield that it can cherry-pick the most “interesting” applicants. Harvard, with a much bigger class, needs to work harder to maintain its stats and is more numbers-driven. Stanford has a small class and so many other strengths that it can afford to be more quirky, and it sacrifices a bit in LSAT scores to get an interesting and eclectic blend without damaging its overall ranking. After that, it’s almost purely numbers-driven, with LSAT scores the top priority, and GPA next. But because there aren’t that many high-LSAT/high GPA applicants, you don’t need to go too far down that list before schools will start to flip-flop, admitting a certain number of high LSAT/lower GPA applicants, and balancing them off with a similar number of high GPA/lower LSAT applicants in order to maintain both medians simultaneously. And remember, it’s only the median that matters to US News, so a high-LSAT candidate has a good chance of getting into a very good law school even with an unimpressive GPA. For high GPA/lower LSAT applicants it’s tougher, because they’re much more common.</p>
<p>There’s absolutely no reason any law school would favor graduates of an elite private undergraduate college like JHU in this competitive environment. The only places it could make a difference are at Yale, Stanford, or Harvard Law Schools, but it apparently doesn’t help them much there, with 2 reported JHU admits to Yale, 1 to Stanford, and 5 to Harvard for whatever period is covered by the report cited by Blah2009.</p>
<p>Most of these law schools will make exceptions to their purely numbers-driven approach to get URMs whose stats are in the ballpark of their enrolled students. And it’s also possible that in all the flip-flopping on LSATs and GPAs, JHU’s <em>mean</em> LSATs and <em>mean</em> GPAs came out below the <em>median</em> figures reported for each school, the mean and the median being very different figures. </p>
<p>Finally, I’d note that Blah 2009 omitted reporting on some other law schools where both JHU and UC Berkeley provide data. At USC, JHU admits had the same average LSATs and higher average GPAs than UC Berkeley admits. At UC Davis, JHU admits had higher LSATs and lower GPAs than UC Berkeley admits. Granted, these law schools are not quite as high up the pecking order as those cited by Blah2009, but these results suggest this is mostly just a small-N question; the numbers of schools reported on and the numbers of admits to any particular law school are just too small to allow sweeping conclusions.</p>