<p>dstark ~ A couple of thoughts. First, I found one CB report that does allow us to estimate the effect you describe from the multiple sittings of the SAT I (the old test from 2004). The link is here:</p>
<p><a href="http://www.collegeboard.com/prod_downloads/about/news_info/cbsenior/yr2002/pdf/sixB.pdf%5B/url%5D">http://www.collegeboard.com/prod_downloads/about/news_info/cbsenior/yr2002/pdf/sixB.pdf</a></p>
<p>Bottom line on this; from this data one can estimate the maximum effect possible from multiple sittings vs best sitting, but not the actual effect. After some calculations, the difference in reported SAT scores is somewhere between 0 points and a maximum of 21 points. Without the real underlying data I don't think the "gap" can be determined from this chart, but somewhere previously I have seen a distribution of scores (plus and minus for each incremental test). So I'm going to guess from my memory of this table and the link above that the "gap" is worth about 15 points.</p>
<p>In other words, you are right, Berkeley is almost caught up with USC on average SAT I scores. Given that the US News showed scores to the nearest ten points, we really can't tell if Berkeley is caught up. Hell, Berkeley could be ahead by a couple of points! But the rest of the pack listed in my earlier post do not match up with USC.</p>
<p>Was it Senator Moynihan who said everyone is entitled to their own opinion, but not to their own facts? I'm not trying to manipulate numbers: I am definitely trying to solicit reasons (and I'm a quantitative kind of person) for thinking that USC is weaker than it seems, because my son is considering the school seriously for 2006. Like all of the parents here, I don't want to be a flawed advisor for my kid...</p>
<p>You wrote that "the link shows more top students apply to Berkeley and UCLA, go to Berkeley and UCLA, and there are weaker students that are accepted and go to USC than Berkeley and UCLA."</p>
<p>I was hoping to step around this sort of comparison and keep the discussion more general, because this is where I get flamed by the UC partisans, but here goes.</p>
<p>For your quote, well, of course there are more smart kids going to UCLA and Berkeley than to USC. All three schools are "full," that is not expanding much any more. They have their planned admission profiles in place. Again, the objective numbers are:</p>
<ol>
<li>Berkeley 23,206 undergrads, 89% in-state</li>
<li>UCLA 25,715 undergrads, 95% in-state</li>
<li>USC 16,381 undergrads, 67% in-state</li>
</ol>
<p>What this means is that UCLA and Berkeley (between them) have 45,082 "seats" which are, other things being equal, destined for smart California kids. USC, on the other hand, has only 10,975 "seats" destined for smart California kids. so when you tell me that you more of the smart kids in your local NoCal area applying and attending UCLA and Berkeley, I am completely certain that you are right. But this does not mean that the two UCs are better: not at all. It means they are bigger, that's all.</p>
<p>Now the second part of your point was that weaker students are accepted and go to USC than to the two UCs you cited. Two things need to be mentioned here: first, that the SAT data don't seem to confirm this idea. I don't want to be rude, but can you sustain this point with some data? I'm not asserting that you are wrong: I am asserting that I don't see objective evidence that you are right! and that the SAT data seems to be showing the reverse, in fact, at least for all the UCs except Berkeley.</p>
<p>The second point on this "weaker students go to USC" concept is that USC makes powerful use of the Pell grants program to recruit a more economically diverse student body than many California schools of similar quality. I think this is laudable. But what this would seem to imply to me is that, at constant levels of economic resources, USC must be recruiting better students than it's peer group at the UCs, because USC still comes out third in the SAT rankings for the state.</p>
<p>Also, I would again wonder how the price differential between USC and the UCs impacts the decisions of talented California HS seniors. For USC to routinely recruit higher average SAT scoring students, year after year, at a higher price for the education, suggests that in the education marketplace buyers are seeing more value at USC than at the UCs.</p>
<p>[covers his head with his arms and sadly announces "let the flaming begin"]</p>