VT 23 chance

What are my chances if I applied to university studies early decision?
In State NOVA
3.896 W gpa
1500 SAT (800 math)
part time job 3 years, 3 honor societies, 100 hours service, couple highschool sports (none varsity)
great essays
Rigorous course schedule.
After senior year, total of 9 AP’s

Good chances