What are my chances at Stanford?

I currently live in Panama and study in a highschool with British curriculum (Junior /11th grade). I wanted to know how well am I doing if I am aiming for a top university such as Stanford.

Class Rank: 1/115 #1 in class since 1st grade (primary)
GPA: (3.8 unweighted)
SAT: 1510 (Math 770, English 740)

Extracurriculars:
Debate (since 7th grade)
Member of the Debate Club since 2012
2015 - Debate Club board
2016 - Secretary General
2017 - President
I have participated in over 25 MUN debates, receiving 8 best delegate awards, 6 outstanding delegate awards and 2 honorable mentions, as well as chairing 6 committees and being the Secretary General of the school’s debate (national level) with over 300 students.* 2 of the awards are international, and the rest are national. *

  • 4th National Debate Tournament Champions (Teams of 3) (2016)
  • 1st National Debate Cup, Province of Panama Champions (Teams of 3) (2016)

Theatre (since 6th grade)
Member of the drama club since 2011
Participated in the 5 school plays since then.
8 hours of practice a week from April to August. Surprisingly, I have always had one of the starring roles, even in the lower years

NGO founder (2015)
I founded along with 4 other friends an NGO which promotes social justice in Panama. We are currently giving out speeches in public schools to create awareness on topics such as discrimination, racism, etc.

School Newspaper (2016)
This year I founded an online school newspaper for all students to be aware of the activities done at school, as well as covering performance at other events such as debate, sports etc.

Member of the basketball team since 2014
U - 16 4th place in the National League. (2016)
U - 18 3rd place in the National League. (2016)

So, considering all this, would it be enough to get into Stanford? In case not, what shall I do to improve my chances?
P.D.: Obviously I have more options, but Stanford would be my top choice.

Other than stating you are a qualified applicant, there is no way to chance for a school with a less than 5% acceptance rate. Apply but also cast a wide net and select schools with more realistic chances.

Right-- chances are slim-- for everyone.

Google Stanford’s Common Data Set. I am guessing that your GPA and SAT are not in the top 25th percentile, possibly not in the top 50th. Your chances are not great, if I am being honest. It’s even more difficult for international students. I am very sure that only the most highly competitive internationals would get into Stanford. Yes, you have good ECs, but Stanford had a 4% acceptance rate last year. Many studetns will have ECs similar to yours.

Apply by all means, but assume you won’t get in, becasue it is highly unlikely. And please do not mention anything you have done before high school, unless it is very significant, such as having a book published at the age of 13, or winning some international award before high school. They will not care if you have been number 1 in your class since first grade (btw, seriously?) and if you mention that, your credibility will be questioned.

Probably about average, so 5% or so.

MODERATOR’S NOTE:
The OP’s stats are based upon hypotheticals.