What are my chances for UVA (out of state)

Hi, I was wondering if anyone could estimate my chances for UVA RD as an OOS applicant (I understand it’s a reach, but I wanted to see if it was worth it to apply to A&S and select McIntire Commerce as first choice and A&S econ as second)

GPA UW: 3.59/4.0
3-4 APs (5 on one AP, waiting for other grades for this year… Some honors & advanced classes. Q1 grades 4A 3B+)
ACT: 33 (Superscore 34)
School doesn’t rank class (Very highly ranked NY public school)

ECS & Leadership & Job Experience:
Classically trained voice lessons (4+ years)
Yearbook (staff for 2 years, editor in chief for two years)
World Language club member
Elected Grade Activities Board Member (2 years)
Guitar Lessons
Acting Lessons (won awards locally)
Tutor high school students in math
Volunteer with ESL students in local community
Volunteer for charity organization dealing with rare cardiatric diseases
CUSC Summer Program
Camp Counselor
Intern full time at well known advertising/business agency in NYC

Essays: Great-Amazing (many people read, very happy with)
Recommendations: Amazing (2 teachers who i’ve had for 2+ years each, know me very well. One UVA Alum)
not sure what else to include here, thanks!

I’d say you have a chance, but UVA is known for making weird decisions (even denying very high-preforming in-state students). So there’s no reason not to apply! But realize if you don’t get in, it’s not a big deal.