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<p>Sorry to break it for you, but there’s a difference between what’s correct and what you want to hear. You’re operating on the assumption that they’re the same thing.</p>
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<p>By this logic, if you post to ask “What’s 1 + 1?” the person who says 1 + 1 = 2 must be poorly educated in math because anyone can answer that question. The person who says 1 + 1 = 3 has the right answer because it’s different from the other answers. Sorry, but just because we’re saying something you don’t like and just because many of us are saying the same thing doesn’t mean we don’t know what we’re talking about and we don’t know how the process works.</p>
<p>Actually, the reason you’re seeing so much agreement on this thread is because we know how it works. The consensus here is not the consensus of the foolish masses. It’s the consensus of people who know what they’re talking about.</p>
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<p>Well, that’s the point. We can’t tell you the probability of your acceptance. It’s not a science. There are far too many variables, especially since we can’t see the contents of the applications and we have no idea what a particular admissions office is looking for in any particular year. And our opinions are going to be different from theirs; what’s interesting to me may bore an admissions officer out of her mind.</p>
<p>Thus, my most firm answer is that we don’t know, and we can’t know.</p>
<p>However, based on a few general principles and where the level of interest of the essays and ECs is listed in the example as it is perceived by the admissions officers, I think the second student is more likely to be admitted.</p>
<p>Why? Because when admissions officers find one academically qualified applicant interesting and the other academically qualified applicant uninteresting, they’re going to be more likely to admit the interesting one. And both applicants in this scenario are academically qualified as far as their test scores (information about their grades would be useful, too).</p>
<p>But that analysis is utterly irrelevant because we’re not talking about how interesting things are as perceived by the admissions officers; we’re talking about how interesting things are from the perspective of one of the students. That’s (1) highly biased, and (2) irrelevant to how admissions officers will perceive the applicants.</p>
<p>If you appear in your application anything like you appear in this thread, though, I’d reject you. Your utter disdain for people who disagree with you, your close-mindedness, and your poor writing skills aren’t making the case for me.</p>
<p>Oh, and by the way, I really don’t appreciate hypotheticals that, like 99.9% of hypotheticals on CC, are obviously not actually hypothetical. Especially when the OP reveals only a few posts down that, oh yeah, it wasn’t really hypothetical. If it’s about you, own up to it. Understanding sources of bias is important, as is confidence.</p>