<p>The New Leader says
[quote]
People just do chances to see where they are among people. They probably want comments from experienced people. They want to know whether, for example, their scores are below the norm, or whether the ECs are not substantial enough.
[/quote]
The problem is that all of this is at best useless. The comments in chances threads are usually ill-informed, as most of the informed people don't bother to comment (as it is all about the match). So if I put up a "chance me" thread, I'm either get the ego boost of "Wow, you are a great candidate" (which is pleasant but not particularly helpful), or the slam of "you suck, you only got a 790 on the math, heck you NEED an 800", which is unpleasant, factually wrong and again, unhelpful.</p>
<p>As to ECs, the advice on these boards is frequently wrong. It's all about quality over quantity, which rarely comes through in the chances lists.</p>
<p>You want the raw numbers, MIT publishes them. For the class that just entered in 2007, MIT received 12,445 applications with an admit rate of 12% and a yield of 69%. 84% of the admitted class had an SAT I verbal score above 650, 97% had a math score above 650. 40% had a verbal score above 750. 66% had a math score above 750. Nonetheless MIT admitted just 21% of those applicants who had a verbal score above 750, and just 17% of those applicants with a math score above 750. MIT also admitted 3% of those applicants whose verbal score was below 550.</p>
<p>Do these numbers help? Maybe peripherally. If you were applying with scores of 780V, 780M, then you probably knew before you looked at the MIT statistics, that from an academic perspective you had perfectly fine scores, but they were not enough to guarantee admission. After careful reflection on the statistics, you now know that you have perfectly fine scores, which are not enough to guarantee admission. I just don't see the point.</p>
<p>Besides, if you find that your scores are "below the norm", so what. When it comes to your application, your life experiences, and essays, then we are actually dealing with a sample size of 1, which makes it hard to draw meaningful conclusions. Remember that MIT admitted 3% of those applicants whose verbal score was below 550. That 3% is not a single spectacular outlying exception. It is a select group of outlying exceptions, each one wonderful in their own way (or they are unlikely to have gotten in).</p>
<p>I should note that these are based, as with most other schools in the US, on the profile of the admitted class, which is its own object lesson in how to lie with statistics. Ever wonder why the (fictitious) Lower Slobovia State College has such high average SATs? Its because they publish a profile of their ADMITTED Class, and Lower Slobovia State admitted every Merit Scholar in the state. Precisely none of them chose to accept that offer of admission, but boy does it inflate the average stats. MIT with its 69% yield, and extremely competitive pool is much less affected by this than many, but it too reports on the admitted class. If you want much more intelligent stats, look for the profile of the ENROLLED class, which is a subtle but critical distinction.</p>
<p>OK, Rant Ends, Sorry.</p>