<p>what do you guys think? (see <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2008/03/09/education/09admissions.html?_r=1&em&ex=1205208000&en=0e9cdf43a279b2af&ei=5087%0A%5B/url%5D">http://www.nytimes.com/2008/03/09/education/09admissions.html?_r=1&em&ex=1205208000&en=0e9cdf43a279b2af&ei=5087%0A</a> for more detail)</p>
<p>clearly this year did see a significant drop (or any drop for that matter) in the # of applicants...</p>
<p>anyone?..</p>
<p>You are clearly mistaken. Tons of colleges saw increase in applications, most of them experienced decrease in acceptance rate, few of them hit the record low acceptance rate. To give an example, Harvard hit 6.9%, Chicago 18%, record low accep.rate in their history. This year was one of the most competitive year for college.</p>
<p>The article is clearly outdated, and the projection failed, at least for this year. I think the college admission for next year at least will get more intense. For instance, UMich and Columbia, two elite colleges that just joined Common Application, are projected to hit record low acceptance rate next year.</p>
<p>“easier” is relative. Tons of colleges are scraping and tugging to get full incoming classes. The madness with the top fifty is what is mind blowing. But for practically anyone in america who wants to attend college – it’s easy as pie.</p>
<p>No. People on here think they’re intelligent because they’re applying to 12+ schools, but they’re really not.</p>
<p>I don’t think it’ll be any easier for us. Maybe not significantly harder, but definitely not easier. I’m personally only applying to 6 schools, and I’m happy with my list :D</p>
<p>Yeah, I’ve been a bit confused about this. Some people have been saying 2011 will have less applicants and be easier while others are saying the opposite. Does anyone know for sure (like with an article or stats as back up)?</p>
<p>The article was published early 2008, clearly statistics of 2008 and 2009 that are available contradicts this prediction.</p>
<p>2010 was the first year the number of applicants declined. The number of applications however, increased, most likely to the lowering of admissions rates. </p>
<p>It is April 30. It will be interesting to see what the final numbers are once the dust settles and waitlists are cleared. There will be winners and losers. The currently reported admissions rates will likely increase. </p>
<p>There seem to be two competing factors. On the one hand, 2009 was the peak of the baby boomlet and each succeeding year will have slightly fewer applicants. However, on the other hand, the drop in admissions rates, has caused an increase in the number of applications. Since applicants can only attend one school, I suspect that this year there will be judicious use of waitlists.</p>
<p>Don’t count on it being easier next year. Although the overall number of applicants should decline, the number of well-prepared and highly-qualified applicants could increase. You never can tell.</p>
<p>Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity, 1992 to 2022</p>
<p>“Knocking at the College Door,” The 2008 Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education presented the following projections for high school graduation numbers:</p>
<h1>2005-06: 3,189,538 graduates</h1>
<h1>2006-07: 3,254,432 graduates</h1>
<h1>2007-08: 3,340,235 graduates</h1>
<h1>2008-09: 3,320,163 graduates</h1>
<h1>2009-10: 3,310,631 graduates</h1>
<h1>2010-11: 3,280,185 graduates</h1>
<h1>2011-12: 3,225,017 graduates</h1>
<h1>2012-13 3,228,044 graduates</h1>
<h1>2013-14 3,188,642 graduates</h1>
<p>[Knocking</a> at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity, 1992 to 2022 | Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education](<a href=“http://www.wiche.edu/pub/11556]Knocking”>Publication Request - WICHE)</p>
<p>giveher–</p>
<p>Are those years for their h.s. graduation dates or their college graduation dates?</p>
<p>It’ll keep getting tougher for the top-tier schools, but it will start to get a little easier for most of the others.</p>
<p>When you say top tier, do you mean HYPS or even more top tier colleges?</p>
<p>looking around, fewer colleges had lower acceptance rates this year (of course most of the ones that matter did)</p>
<p>i suspect that glido is right, esp. considering that people who apply to more schools tend to be the super high achievers that look primarily at top 20 schools</p>
<p>
</p>
<p>I disagree. The game isn’t over yet, so don’t consider this year’s acceptance rates final. We know many students who have been admitted to 6 or more schools, and they can each only choose 1. Plus many of these same students accepted positions on waitlists. I think there will be increasing reliance of waitlists for enrollment management, but there will be many schools whose acceptance rate goes up from what’s been reported so far. </p>
<h1>of applicants has gone down</h1>
<h1>of applications per applicant has gone up</h1>
<p>Do the math.</p>
<p>yet as far as i know, people with lower gpas apply to less schools</p>
<p>so imo, less prestigious schools will end up having higher admit rates (albeit only slightly higher) and all the big name schools will continue to have to accept fewer students</p>