It’s also possible that CWRU may be looking at different holistic factors than the UCs.
The 25th-75th percentile SAT scores are for enrolled students, not admitted students.
It would not be safe to say that 25% of the 10,049 admitted students had SAT scores at or above the 75th percentile of 1520.
Of enrolled students, 39% or 626 submitted SAT scores, so about 157 had SAT scores at or above the 75th percentile of 1520.
There is not enough information to tell how many of the admitted students had SAT scores at or above the 75th percentile of 1520.
The CDS does say that there were 888 ED applicants, of whom 318 were admitted (with presumably all or nearly all enrolled).
Oh, my mistake. Thanks!
Among “high stats” applicants, some are GPA-biased while others are SAT/ACT-biased. GPA-biased applicants are more likely to do well at UCs than other colleges (even before UCs went test-blind), while SAT/ACT-biased applicants are more likely to do well at other colleges.
There are also other things that differ:
- UCs can often be much more admission competitive for certain divisions or majors, but some other colleges may not have much or any difference in admission competitiveness across majors.
- Other factors that can differ are UCs’ emphasis on factors that try to avoid overfavoring high SES applicants whose opportunities were bought with parental money (a common reason for the high SES skew at many more selective colleges), and the non-use of legacy or development preference at UCs.
I have different reach categories. (Well, I’ll just list them all.)
High reach: 0-5% chance
Reach: 5-15%
Low reach: 15-25%
High match: 25-40%
Match: 40-60%
Low match: 60-90%
Safety: 90+%
So your Low Probability straddles my Low Reach/High Match ranges. A rose by any other name…
More important, I would agree. CWRU is probably a Low Reach/High Match for a great many applicants. Like a Tulane or a U Miami, they are heavily into yield protection… so they may actually be more likely to admit the 3.7/1400 kid who shows the love, rather than the 4.0/1550 kid who has 20 apps out and doesn’t really give Case a second thought after applying. Among schools worried about these things, some schools chase the stats primarily… while others chase the yield. Case appears to be among the latter.
Can we please return to topic and dispense with debating the nuances of the CDS, yield protection, etc?
I think UW might be a target for you since in-state admit rates are >20%. UMich will be a reach. I would consider adding Purdue as a target and UC Davis as a reach.