<p>A couple of points:
- Deferred applicants can get in during RD. My son at Yale knows a number of people who did. So a deferral is not the same as a rejection.
- There is no question that a lot of factors determine who will be accepted–these include geography, interests, and achievements. It has been my observation in the past the the best predictor of success in getting into highly selective schools is significant personal achievement in an activity outside the high school (assuming stats are high enough).
- A student on another thread complained that highly qualified students are being squeezed out by URMs and others. There is a grain of truth to this, because Yale does want to have URMs–but there were lots of URMs who were deferred, and of the two accepted URMs on the results threads, both had good scores and one had a 2370.
- Recruited athletes don’t seem to post on CC a lot, so that part of the equation isn’t very clear.</p>