What colleges should I be aiming for

I’ve been looking at the UC system for now, but I am wondering whether I should try for UVA or one of the Ivies.
So here is my info:

Demographics/Geographic Location: Asian male from the central valley of California

Intended Major: Physics

GPA: 3.95 UW/ 4.51 W; for UC 4.0 UW;4.28 W capped, 4.65 W uncapped

SAT: 1520 (800 Math/720 English)

SAT Subject:
Math 2: 780
Physics: expecting 760+
Chemistry: 750
Spanish: 740

AP Scores:
Calc AB: 5
Human Geography: 5
World History: 5
Lang: expecting 3 or 4
APES: expecting 4 or 5
Calc BC: expecting 4 or 5
Physics 1: expecting 4

  • I have also taken around 10-11 community college classes with more coming at a later date

Awards/Activities

  • Collegeboard National Recognition - Small town
  • National Merit Commended Student
  • President of Academic Decathlon Team (also won individual awards)
  • Science Fair participant (1st place at norcal Sacramento region in physics/math category; honorable mention at state competition in sophomore year)
  • Science Olympiad participant (won awards at invitationals and regionals, states were canceled due to coronavirus)
  • Viola, I play for church choir and for high school orchestra; county honor orchestra for past two years
  • Band: was part of the marching band for two years, first chair tenor saxophone at my high school in senior year
  • Library Tutor: tutored younger children from communities with non-English speaking parents...however, the library was closed for renovations and now COVID.

Ivies will be a reach- maybe Cornell if you apply ED. I don’t think your EC’s will blow any Ivy admissions people away.
UVA for out of state is not much easier. Not sure why you picked it but you might have a chance- depending on your school’s UVA track record.
You have good but not crazy good scores and grades. Maybe take it down a notch for some good match schools.
Univ of Rochester, Brandeis, NYU, Lehigh, Stevens, Maryland…

How about Cal, UCLA, UCSB, UC Davis, UC Irvine etc.

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our school has decent track record with UVA… no rejections… according to our Naviance system there have been 10 acceptances and 2 waitlist in the class of 2024 group.

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Based on your interest in pursuing physics, consider undergraduate-focused schools with excellent support for research activities such as Pomona, Hamilton, Harvey Mudd, Williams, Swarthmore, Amherst, Haverford and Reed, of which several have produced Apker Award winners or finalists in recent years (selected news articles below). Though most of these colleges obviously represent reaches for most of their applicants, you would seem to have a reasonable chance of admission at at least a few of them.

https://magazine.pomona.edu/2019/winter/eric-cooper-18-how-to-win-the-heisman-of-physics/

https://www.hamilton.edu/news/story/elise-lepage-18-an-apker-physics-award-finalist

https://www.hmc.edu/about-hmc/2017/10/27/leung-17-wins-apker-award-undergrad-physics-work/

https://physics.williams.edu/articles/augenbraun-apker-winner/

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Thank you so much. I’ve strongly considered Pomona but costs look a bit too high.

This resource can be especially convenient for estimating college costs: https://myintuition.org/.

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What about RPI? Is that a good match/hard target school?

Rensselaer’s relatively high acceptance rate (recently 43%) makes it an easier admit than other aspects of its profile would suggest.

https://nces.ed.gov/collegenavigator/?q=Rensselaer&s=all&id=194824#admsns

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It looks like Gumbymom provided you with UC stats in your other thread. UCLA and UCB will be a reach although the community college classes (depending on subject and grade) could help. If you haven’t already, I would look at Cal Poly SLO.

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problem with SLO is there’s no major changes available and I’m not 150% committed to physics… might change to chemistry or CS

For absolute safety, I have Cal State stanislaus (nearest state school) and maybe UOP

Note that, proportional to enrollment, a school such as CP–SLO registers about one fifth the physics majors of some liberal arts colleges. You may want to research similar relationships across your potential college choices. IPEDS can be a good source for this (e.g., https://nces.ed.gov/collegenavigator/?q=Pomona&s=all&id=121345#programs).

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Okay here’s what my list looks like (tell me if anything is placed in the wrong category)

Safety:
Cal State Stanislaus
SJSU
UC Merced
UC Santa Cruz

Target:
UC Irvine
UC San Diego
UC Santa Barbara
RPI
UC Davis

Reach:
UCLA
UC Berkeley
UVA

Long Reach:
Harvard
Brown
CMU

Does it look good enough (and did I place all the schools in the appropriate category)?

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Based on the type of school you seem to like, consider adding Rice.

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I may but I’m not sure if Texas is right for me…

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I like bigger schools where I can disappear if I want to… with lots of variety in student population both in viewpoints and ethnicity. Big LGBT culture.

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Based on those criteria, consider the University of Rochester, which enhances its diversity through a large international enrollment, and which would offer an intermediate level of selectivity in the context of your tentative choices. I’m not sure about LGBT culture there, though it’s likely to compare to that of some of the other schools you have listed.

https://www.businessinsider.com/the-610-smartest-colleges-in-america-2015-9

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What about NYU which was mentioned at the start? moderate selectivity… especially in CAS… has the LGBT culture (NYC) and yeah… only problem with that is also cost but I think I can get some good aid…

Yes, strongly consider CAS at NYU.