2014 US News Undergrad Rankings Predictions

<p>Here are the top ten for the 2013 ranking:</p>

<ol>
<li>Harvard</li>
<li>Princeton</li>
<li>Yale</li>
<li>Columbia </li>
<li>UChicago</li>
<li>MIT</li>
<li>Stanford</li>
<li>Duke</li>
<li>UPenn</li>
<li>Caltech</li>
<li>Dartmouth</li>
</ol>

<p>What do you predict for this year?</p>

<ol>
<li>Princeton</li>
<li>Harvard</li>
<li>Yale</li>
<li>Stanford</li>
<li>MIT</li>
<li>Columbia</li>
<li>UChicago</li>
<li>Dartmouth</li>
<li>Duke</li>
<li>UPenn </li>
</ol>

<p>Purely subjective, of course.</p>

<p>I think Brown might crack top ten this year</p>

<p>Stanford
Harvard
Princeton
MIT
Yale
UPenn
Columbia
Duke
Caltech
Datmouth</p>

<ol>
<li>Princeton</li>
<li>Harvard</li>
<li>Yale</li>
<li>MIT</li>
<li>Stanford</li>
<li>Columbia</li>
<li>UChicago</li>
<li>Duke</li>
<li>Dartmouth</li>
<li>UPenn</li>
</ol>

<p>When is the ranking coming out?</p>

<p>My bold prediction: basically the same as last year.
The whole point of the usnwr rankings is that they don’t change very much from year to year.</p>

<p>

</p>

<p>USNWR is careful to churn the numbers so that rankings do change, enough so that they sell fresh copies of their guide every year.</p>

<p>Does anyone know when the new rankings will be out?</p>

<p>Anyone know when colleges start publishing common data set for 2013-2014 ?</p>

<p>You could put any of those 10 in any order and no one would care. All school rankings are always highly debatable. Convenient to use when they flatter your school, and easy to discredit when they don’t.</p>

<p>Morse can’t change the rankings too much to put schools like Penn or Dartmouth on top, since that doesn’t fit with the common assumptions and might discredit the rankings. That being said, the US News will slightly tweak the criteria this year in a way that it puts one extremely prestigious school one or two “colleges” ahead of its peer universities.</p>

<p>Where are you getting your information from? And which “extremely prestigious” schools would they be?</p>

<h1>1 Harvard University</h1>

<h1>1 Princeton University</h1>

<h1>3 Yale University</h1>

<h1>4 Columbia University</h1>

<h1>5 University of Chicago</h1>

<h1>5 Stanford University</h1>

<h1>5 Massachusetts Institute of Technology</h1>

<h1>8 University of Pennsylvania</h1>

<h1>9 Duke University</h1>

<h1>10 California Institute of Technology</h1>

<h1>10 Dartmouth College</h1>

<h1>12 Northwestern University</h1>

<h1>12 Johns Hopkins University</h1>

<h1>14 Cornell University</h1>

<h1>15 Washington University in St. Louis</h1>

<h1>15 Brown University</h1>

<h1>17 Rice University</h1>

<h1>17 University of Notre Dame</h1>

<h1>17 Vanderbilt University</h1>

<h1>20 Emory University</h1>

<h1>21 Georgetown University</h1>

<h1>21 University of California–​Berkeley</h1>

<h1>21 University of Southern California</h1>

<h1>24 Carnegie Mellon University</h1>

<h1>25 University of California–​Los Angeles</h1>

<p>This dumb annual game. But I’m stupid enough to play…</p>

<h1>1 Harvard University</h1>

<h1>2 Princeton University</h1>

<h1>3 Yale University</h1>

<h1>3 Stanford University</h1>

<h1>5 University of Chicago</h1>

<h1>6 Columbia University</h1>

<h1>7 Massachusetts Institute of Technology</h1>

<h1>8 California Institute of Technology</h1>

<h1>9 University of Pennsylvania</h1>

<h1>10 Duke Unviersity</h1>

<h1>10 Dartmouth College</h1>

<h1>10 Northwestern University</h1>

<h1>12 Johns Hopkins University</h1>

<h1>14 Cornell University</h1>

<h1>15 Washington University in St. Louis</h1>

<h1>15 Brown University</h1>

<h1>17 Rice University</h1>

<h1>17 University of Notre Dame</h1>

<h1>17 Vanderbilt University</h1>

<h1>20 Emory University</h1>

<h1>21 Georgetown University</h1>

<h1>21 University of California–​Berkeley</h1>

<h1>21 University of Southern California</h1>

<h1>24 Carnegie Mellon University</h1>

<h1>25 University of California–​Los Angeles</h1>

<p>I don’t see how schools can tie.</p>

<ol>
<li>Harvard</li>
<li>Princeton</li>
<li>Stanford</li>
<li>Yale</li>
<li>MIT</li>
<li>Columbia</li>
<li>UChicago</li>
<li>UPenn</li>
<li>Duke</li>
<li>Cal Tech</li>
<li>Dartmouth</li>
<li>Northwestern</li>
<li>Johns Hopkins</li>
<li>Cornell</li>
<li>Brown</li>
<li>Rice</li>
<li>WUSTL</li>
<li>Georgetown</li>
<li>Notre Dame</li>
<li>Vanderbilt</li>
<li>Cal</li>
<li>USC</li>
<li>Emory</li>
<li>University of Virginia</li>
<li>Carnegie Mellon</li>
</ol>

<p>JuniorMint approves of this ranking.</p>

<p>Harvard and Princeton are usually tied at number 1. Maybe we will see Stanford or Yale form a three-way tie with these two great institutes. </p>

<p>MIT, Chicago, Caltech, Columbia, and Penn, are frequent visitors between 5 and 9, they will appear at these spots again. </p>

<p>Duke, Dartmouth, Northwestern, and WUSL should hold on the positions between 10 and 13 as they usually do. </p>

<p>Brown, Cornell, and JHU are next in line for 14 through 16.</p>

<p>Four decent private institutes, namely, Vanderbilt, Rice, Notre Dame, and Emory usually secure 17 through 20 to prevent the breakthrough of any public institute for the top 20.</p>

<p>Berkeley, is usually placed at 21, the highest ranking a public institute could possibly achieve with the current evaluation formula that USNews are using. This year, there will be no exception (i.e. no public institute will be ranked within top 20). I will see Berkeley, together with Georgetown and CMU exercising their domination over 21 through 23.</p>

<p>UVA has been included in top 25 for the past 25 years regardless the changing usage of formula. This year, they will appear at 24 or 25. Also in recent years, I observe a three-way tie at 24 or 25 between UVA, USC, and UCLA. This year, I expect Michigan to form a four-way tie with them, each make it for this year’s top 25.</p>

<p>US News is good at playing this game. They will leave the rankings in roughly the same order so that they still confirm everyone’s gut feelings about where the various schools should be. But they will slightly move schools around so people have a reason to look at the new rankings.</p>

<p>Other than that, who knows or cares?</p>

<p>ModelingLiao, thanks for the commentary. I think USN will have to shake it up a little more than that to get more than a yawn, but good analysis.</p>

<p>What is the rationale behind the predicted jump for Michigan to #25? It’s not as if the PA can go higher. ;)</p>