I’m a single mom with 5 kids. Without financial aid grants/scholarships, colleges would be prohibitively expensive. One thing is that what one person thinks as ‘regular middle class,’ is what another person thinks of as ‘rich.’ But, as others have pointed out, if you run numbers through the Net Price Calculator in each school, you will get some idea of whether your kid will get need based financial aid. Also if you complete the FAFSA it will tell you your EFC, estimated family contribution. Although that is only a very rough rule of thumb, and anyway, most private schools (with the large endowments to give significant grants) have you also do the Profile, which is much more detailed.
There were some schools that we were pretty sure would be out of our range. In a few cases, my kids didn’t apply at all, and in other cases, they applied anyway–I’ve always told them they have two hurdles: getting in, and affording it. If you can get your total cost, tuition, room & board, ‘down’ to $20k/year as @bisouu’s D did, that is very good. The remainder will usually be covered by either need, or need-talent based, or else pure merit/talent based; you have a higher chance of getting pure merit if your school is ‘below’ your stats.
What I"m saying is that it’s a very good idea to apply to a wide range of schools–public, private (those with high endowments & a policy of low or no loans are the best), schools that are ‘below’ your stats and might give merit but which can be a great experience. Be very clear that your son/daughter may not be able to go. Sometimes it can be disappointing: My S was accepted to RADA but they weren’t set up for loans & didn’t have grants. My D was accepted to RISD (a top art school) but couldn’t go because they didn’t end up giving her any money in grants, & it was pure loans. (They both ended up in great places.)
It all has a way of working out, but be sure you are clear with your kid beforehand so it doesn’t come as a shock if they can’t go. On the flip side, I wouldn’t not apply to a college because you just don’t know if they won’t give you a merit/grant. Even in schools that are ‘known’ to not give large merit/talent/need grants, I have known people to get significant merit grants. But I’d be very sure to have financial safeties.
As far as affording even ‘just’ $20K/year or whatever it may be–I have taken out Parent Plus. I don’t own a home. My kids have taken out their own Stafford loans as well. This is the reality of the college experience nowadays. The Stafford loans now offer income-based repayment, which makes them a more do-able loan.
@CMB625, we couldn’t afford a ton of traveling, and certainly couldn’t visit a huge range of colleges beforehand. We’re lucky to live on the East Coast though, so we could drive to Unifieds and other NYC based auditions. You’re not alone!
@DoinResearch “I suspect that many of the very good theater schools have so many applicants that they do not necessarily need to offer merit or talent $.”–This isn’t necessarily true. The programs want the best fit for their schools and nearly all will have at least some official merit/talent, or unofficial (not listed on the website, but the money is there). But it’s very smart what you’re doing, I think. The process isn’t always predictable, and it’s good to keep options open with a wide range of choices.