<p>Some really good thoughts. Hunt is correct, a lot depends on the instrument, and for example, brass and woodwinds tend to start later than pianists and violinists. However, I also will tell you that the level is jumping for everything. For example, for the past 30 years or so, the surge in violin, piano and to a certain extent cello has been driven by an influx of students from Korea and China. The reason in part is these are solo instruments and a big weight is placed on that with teachers there, and with the work ethic found there it has driven playing levels through the roof. However, a change is happening, and now the same thing is happening with other instruments, so it may get tougher and tougher if you start late, as it does on violin and piano. </p>
<p>Someone made a good comment about peers, and yes, that can be a driving force to move someone forward, among other things, when you are in a pool of talented students, it does drive you forwards, my S was in one of the stronger prep programs around, and believe me, it made a difference. One of the advantages of going to let’s say Juilliard is the average/typical level is very, very high there, and the stellar students are often spectacular, as opposed to another program where there are some great kids, some excellent kids, and a lot more that are merely okay, and it may not be as motivating. It is part of the mix about deciding where to go, though a great teacher at a ‘lesser’ school may be better than an ok teacher at Juilliard et al. Some students would not do well being the big fish in the small sea, others would be fine. My S ended up making his school decision by the studios he got into, and he chose a fantastic studio where as he put it he would be the tail end of the studio, but being there would drive him forwards. </p>
<p>Redeye, there simply is no substitute for practice, and all the talk of natural talent and prodigies is a load of crap IMO. It doesn’t mean that kids might not have certain attributes that make them better than another kid (musicality tends to be something some kids have a lot of, other kids less, some kids have great stage presence and charisma, others not so much), some kids learn music faster, but even the ‘prodigies’ you see are often kids who have been pushed from an early age, who showed aptitude, but then because of parental pressure and pushy teachers are literally driven to perform…it just doesn’t happen without a lot of hard work. If someone evaluated your D and said she was good, that is a good step, but if she is seriously even thinking about trying for music school, she needs to carve out time to practice. For some kids, like my S, it sort of happens, they do it fluidly within their day (there is nothing that says practice has to be X hours a day,in a bunch, there is nothing wrong with an hour here, two hours there, etc) , but the real key is regular, consistent practice. I know that can be difficult, we went through it with my S, he finally understand that the only way to keep it and improve is do it every day, and for increasing amounts. Given that your D is a double reed instrument musicians, I would say it might be better to do a lot of smaller chunks, like maybe half hour chunks with a break in between, I remember I tried an oboe for a bit, and it left my mouth feeling like rubber. My advice would be she is getting to the age where she has to make choices, if she seriously thinks she may want to try for music school, she has to commit to it, and if she doesn’t, you may want to give her the gruesome twosome as my father used to call it, that she either commits to the practice, or keeps music as a hobby and concentrates on the academics. One thing about the oboe, while it tends to be a less popular instrument and thus less competition, they also only admit a small number to any school in any given year, and at the competitive programs it will likely be pretty stiff competition.</p>
<p>Another thought on ‘making it’ in music and a reality check. Others are correct, when they say that it is likely music students will come out and most will find out they aren’t primarily making a living from music, and that is true. People on here will say “well,my (S or D) is a violinist, but they don’t think they will be a soloist, there target is to work on ensemble playing and get into an orchestra”…the problem with that is it is a nice dream, but the number of full time orchestras that pay decently is small and the likelyhood of graduating from music school and getting into an orchestra job like that is miniscule. While it is good to be realistic about being a soloist (a fools errand for 99.99% of violinists, for example, or maybe 99.999%), it is also good to be realistic about how you can work in music, those who do make it, where they have music partly or fully in their lives, are smart about it, they hustle gigs from networking, teach, and do a variety of things. My S was talking to one of his teachers, a guru type a lot of pros go to for help, and he said that in music those who make it are going to be the people who recognize reality, whereas those who starve are the ones who fix on being a soloist or high level ensemble player as the only way to ‘make it’, fix on that, focus on solo opportunities rather than networking and playing everything they can, and die on the vine when they hit the real world.</p>
<p>One of the things said in this thread I wholeheartedly agree on is you don’t know what the future will hold, and the prodigy of yesterday may be the burnout of tomorrow, the kid with okay skills blossoms with the right teacher and so forth.</p>
<p>Okay, so now it sounds like why would anyone in their right mind go into music? Well, while I obviously come from the school of realism, if after all the soul searching, after all the work, after seeing where you stand, you see a vision of yourself being able/willing to try music school, if you have survived all the doubts, the heartache, your teacher ripping you to shreds, and still want to do it, and understand the competition, understand the nature of trying to work in it, then go for it. Which leads to reality check #7:</p>
<p>Despite what people think, it is okay to try music, and if it doesn’t work out, it isn’t the end of the world. There is such an incredible fear of failure these days it is amazing, and people are looking for the sure thing, and i can understand that. The reality is, though, at 18,19,20, it is the perfect time to try things and if they fail, it isn’t life threatening. If you come out with a music degree and find out it won’t work, there are still a lot of paths open, you have cast yourself into the valley of doom with high walls, said valley dedicated to music, where if you don’t make it, you can’t escape, that isn’t true. Reality is people re-invent themselves over time, and a lot of what you learn with a college degree a)is ‘useless’ in the real world, but is valuable for other reasons and b) prob at best is an introduction to what goes on in the real world, not a complete training package to working (a CS degree barely prepares you to start learning to program professionally). The reality is that trying something and failing is part of life, a natural part, and you learn a lot from it, so it is never really a failure. The typical business success story on average has 3-4 failures before finding the right one.</p>