Chance at Michigan (Dream school)

UMich is definitely my dream (and kind of reach) school, but I think I have a decent shot at getting in. I also believe my family would qualify for a fairly decent financial aid package.

Senior in hs, Out of State (Massachusetts). Desired Major: Computer Science or Mechanical Engineering

Weighted GPA: 3.8/4.0
Unweighted GPA: 3.3/4.0

I’m aware that my GPA is low, but I didn’t care about school freshman year and the first half of sophomore year. My grades after show an incredible upward trend. (not trying to sound pretentious. I went from a D+ to an A in chem in one term and kept it)

ACT Composite: 28/36

AP scores: APUSH 3/5 (only one worth reporting)

strength of schedule: 22 honors classes, 5 AP classes (human geography bio, apush, physics calc)
senior year: ap physics 1, ap calculus, english honors, hs required class, two major related classes

ECs/ achievements:
-played soccer for the school since freshman year
-played baseball freshman to junior year
summer job last summer

  • ~30 community service/volunteer hours
    -merit award for 3d animation junior year

Not much. I know.

Other:
-essays on common app are very strong
-letters of recommendation will be very strong as well. I picked the teachers wisely (one is in the computer field).
-counselor recommendation will be great as well (baseball coach)
-plan to visit campus before december and apply early action

My grades did not reflect my potential freshman and part of sophomore year. I know everybody with bad grades says this, but it is true. I think I showed my potential with test scores and essays. I know Michigan will be a reach school, but by how much?

With a 28 ACT and a 3.5 UW GPA and being OOS Michigan is a high reach to out of reach.

on multiple websites, the 25-75% accepted act scores were 27-3x. A 28 would be too low for out of state?

According to the Michigan Common Data Set, which is the only accurate one, the mid 50% is 29-33;
http://obp.umich.edu/wp-content/uploads/pubdata/cds/cds_2015-2016_umaa.pdf
Coupled with a 3.5 UW GPA admission is not likely.

I think that actual Michigan data was the only data I didn’t look at. Thanks for the response.