Chance for Duke?

DD planning to apply ED to Duke. Really stressed out if she has a chance, and if she should apply ED to a different school.
SAT 1540 with 17 essay
ACT 35
SAT Math II 780
SAT US History 780
Weighted GPA 5.825, unweighted around 3.85
10 AP Courses (5 on 4 exams, 4 on 1 exam)
National Merit Semifinalist
Extracurriculars: Ballet, mock trial president, Mini-THON Captain (community service), flute, french club, student council VP

Only one student from her HS has ever been accepted to Duke (many with similar stats have applied)
Caucasian

Thank you everyone!

She’s competitive, but that does not mean much, since the majority of competitive applicants are rejected. Does she have any state or national awards or public performances?

The problems is that you have condensed dozens of hours a week in dance and musical instrument, not to mention clubs, into a single sentence. For example, my kid dances, and and I know that “ballet” does not describe the details of this EC. Same for flute, same for mock trial and student council.