Chance me for MIT?

White female, from New England, looking to study math, inner city Title 1 small high school, applying early action

GPA: 3.91 UW/ 4.446 W
School doesn’t rank except for top 2, have a shot at salutatorian

SAT: 1520 740 RW/ 780 M
Taking Math 2 and Physics Subject tests in October, may retake in November

School doesn’t offer AP, all weighted as honors classes, getting college credit for some
Self studied Calc BC and got a 2, will be retaking in May along with AP Stats

NHS (11-12): 2 leadership positions (11)
President (12)
Academic Tutor in math and chemistry (11-12)

Student Government (10-12): Class 1st senator (11)
Class president (12)
Student representative on city-wide student senate (10-12)
On my school’s curriculum committee (11-12)
Student rep. on the board for my schools 501©3 funding (11-12)

National Latin Honor Society (9-12)
National Greek Honor Society (11-12)
National Greek Exam Merit (11)

Athletics:
Gymnastics at my YMCA, interested in pursuing club in college (9-12)
5x Nationals qualifier (never went due to finances)
3x Top 3 all around in my age group at states and regionals
Multiple top 3 individual event medals at states and regionals

Art Awards (submitting art portfolio):
2nd Place at Yale Peabody Museum MLK Art Contest (10)
Piece displayed in museum at the city’s “youth art renaissance” (10)
Piece displayed in city’s legislative building (10)

Academic Awards:
Best School Science Fair Project (9)
Best Individual School History Day Project (11)
Service to the school’s chapter of the Junior Classical League (11)
MIT NEST Award (11)
Honor Roll (9-12)

National History Day:
Regional Winner, State Qualifier (10-11)

Run an after school STEM club at my elementary school (12)

Creating a new “flipped classroom” Calculus 1 & 2 curriculum with professors and undergrad students at a local university, coding the curriculum in LaTeX (11-12)

Apprenticeship at local art museum for photography (10)

Volunteered at local science museums summer camp as a counselor (12)

Run a festival at my school every year, coordinate about 30 students, and raise a few thousand dollars every year (9-12)

Get most of my volunteer hours from gymnastics, volunteering at competitions and stuff (9-12)

Solid letters of rec, 1 from an MIT alum (very enthusiastic, saying a lot about how I’d fit into the culture well)

Junior Schedule:
American Lit A
US History A+
Latin 5 A
Calculus 1 A
College Physics B+
Greek 1 A+
Gym A+
Portfolio Prep (Art) A+

Senior Schedule:
British Lit
College Philosophy
College Latin
Statistics
Linear Algebra (Independent Study)
Anatomy & Physiology
Greek 2

All that being said, any ideas on my chances?

@gymnast9261:
In many ways, “chance me” threads for top schools are as useful as throwing darts at a dart board.

There’s a senior assistant director of admissions at MIT who has been doing MIT admissions for the better part of a decade. He write numerous blog on MIT admissions and contributes here (MITChris). In one of his past blogs, which is just as relevant today, he explains that even he, an MIT admissions counselor, cannot provide any meaningful chance input.

https://mitadmissions.org/blogs/entry/no_chance/

You have a very respectable looking list of stats and accomplishments. If MIT is your dream school, then do give it your all. But always make sure your “Plan B” school applications are in top shape.

All the best.