Chance me in-state CA

Chance Me / Match Me!
1

Class of 2022
US citizen/California/Bayarea /Female

Chance me for Calpoly/CSUs/UCs.
Out of state : Purdue/UW/UT Austin

Concerned dont have enough safety schools on my daughter list.
@Gumbymom Please suggest!

**Intended Majors: Marketing/Business Administration/Communications

  • Unweighted HS GPA: 3.83
  • Weighted HS GPA (incl. weighting system): 4.0
  • ACT/SAT Scores: 32

Coursework
AP Euro
AP Psych
AP calc (12th)
AP Gov(12th)

Extracurriculars
Girl Scout (10 years), Silver award (community service)
Part time work ,teaching kids (gymnastics coach)
Publicist in school clubs, awards in state level events

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Look up which courses at your high school receive a UC GPA bump (courses with a yellow start) listed here: UC A-G Course List

Then calculate your UC GPA here: UC/CSU GPA Calculator

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Recalculate your HS GPA with GPA Calculator for the University of California – RogerHub . Use the weighted capped version for the table below.

Fall 2020 admission rates by campus and HS GPA range from Freshman fall admissions summary | University of California :

Campus 4.20+ 3.80-4.19 3.40-3.79 3.00-3.39
Berkeley 37% 14% 2% 1%
Davis 86% 55% 16% 7%
Irvine 60% 38% 9% 1%
Los Angeles 38% 8% 1% 1%
Merced 98% 97% 95% 88%
Riverside 97% 90% 65% 30%
San Diego 78% 39% 8% 1%
Santa Barbara 81% 40% 9% 2%
Santa Cruz 92% 82% 59% 26%

These are for the whole campus. Different divisions or majors may have different levels selectivity (usually, engineering and computer science majors are more selective; business may also be more selective).

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Thats what I did using the calculator above. It comes to 4.0 as she only took 2 APs and the two honors courses she took did not qualify.

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Thank you so much @ucbalumnus. With 4.0 Looks like she probably stands some chance at UC R /Santa Cruz. She doesnt seem to be interested in UC Merced.

Many UCs dont have business schools so she either applying for Business Administration or Communications.

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What are her chances at Calpoly SLO or Pomona? Where can I check similar stats for Calpoly or SDSU/SJSU ?

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CPP would be a Match. SLO is a slight Reach with an admitted SLO GPA (9-11th grades with the 8 semester cap) of 4.00-4.25. SDSU would be a Match/High Match and SJSU a Match.

The UC admit data posted is not available for the majority of the Cal states.

SJSU uses an impaction index and posts the major thresholds for 2021 so you calculate her chances.

SDSU had around a 35% acceptance rate for Marketing in 2020 but no data for 2021.

What is your local CSU, which could be her safety school?

Cal state Fullerton and Cal state Long Beach would be good target schools but not safeties. Sonoma, San Francisco State and East Bay would be good safety options.

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Thank you @Gumbymom We are in bay area(East bay), so SJSU would be local I guess.

OOS she is applying to UW/UT Austin/Purdue etc.

She applied to ASU which may be safety school. Any others (even out of state) that you recommend applying as safety schools?

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Never mind, SJSU only considers Santa Clara as local. So she doesnt qualify to be local.

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https://webapp4.asu.edu/programs/t5/majorinfo/ASU00/BABUSBA/undergrad/false

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@Gumbymom, for SDSU is there any way to really gauge acceptance chances? Any idea what the admissions process is with TB? If the 2020 stats are the only real indicator, can you share where I could find it broken out by major?

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Check link for local Cal state: https://www.calstate.edu/apply/freshman/Documents/CSULocalAdmission-ServiceAreas.pdf

ASU is probably a safety if affordable.

You can look at the WUE schools for possible safety schools. It really depends upon budget.

https://www.wiche.edu/tuition-savings/wue/wue-savings-finder/

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Can go upto 50k per year. Any schools you recommend adding to her list? She prefers being closer to west coast though she is applying few which are al over the map.

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SDSU only posts # applicants, # admits and # enrolled. Average admit CSU GPA at SDSU in 2020 was 4.0.

They look at CSU GPA, HS course rigor, preparation for major, # a-g courses taken/in-progress, local vs non-local.

Here is the admission data from 2020 by major.

https://asir.sdsu.edu/admission-data/applications-by-major/

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Cal Poly enrollment projections for this year’s class of 2025:

Business Administration
FTF (First Time Freshman) Target: 548
FTF Apps: 6,868

Communication Studies:
FTF Target: 97
FTF Apps: 830

If one assumes a yield of roughly 33%, then you multiply target by 3 and divide by the # of apps, you get a rough idea of acceptance %:

So, Communication Studies would have roughly a 35% acceptance rate and Business Admin would have about 23%.

The BIG caveat is yield. The yield is likely much different between Communication Studies in CLA (College of Liberal Arts) than the OCOB (Orfalea College of Business). If it were me, then I’d assume the yield is much higher for OCOB than CLA, making Business Admin much more difficult acceptance rate, than above, using a higher than the 33% yield I assumed.

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I would add University of Arizona since ASU is on the list. Maybe University of San Diego or Chapman University.

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