Chance me UVA, UNC Early Action (OOS)

Please chance me early action for the University of Virginia and University of North Carolina - Chapel Hill (Both Out of State)

Grade: Finishing up junior year
SAT I: Not taken
ACT: 33
ACT Subscores: 27 Math, 36 English, 36 Reading, 34 Science
Unweighted GPA (out of 4.0): 3.73 (9th: 3.65 10th: 3.72 11th: 3.81)
Weighted GPA: 4.12 (9th: 3.84 10th: 3.93 11th: 4.59)
Rank (percentile if rank is unavailable): School does not rank
APs: Macroeconomics, European History, English 11, English 12, Government, Physics, Statistics
Major Awards: National Honors Society, Scholar Athlete, Honor Roll every quarter

*not taken yet, will take senior year

Extracurriculars (place leadership in parenthesis): Football 9-12 (Expecting captain senior year), Basketball 9, School Newspaper 10 and 12, Camp Counselor for 5th grade camp 11, “Summer 2 Serve” youth service group 9-12, “I-Can-Bike” camp for the mentally disabled 9, GYFA youth football combine 10, GHHS Youth football camp 9-12, various soup kitchens and free grocery stores for impoverished families 10-11, daycare for impoverished families 11, Powerlifting Club 10-12

Counselor Rec: Excellent (she is a family friend)

State (if domestic applicant): Ohio
Country (if international applicant): N/A
School Type: General Public School
Ethnicity: White
Gender: Male
Income Bracket: $50,000 - $60,000

Your chances are very low for UNC, and only slightly better for UVA.

Our high school is OOS for both UNC and UVA. For UNC, no student with lower than a 4.3W GPA had gotten into UNC, and most have a 34+ ACT; for UVA, we have had students get in with ACT scores as low as 31, but the corresponding weighted GPAs have been 4.3+.

The big problem applying OOS to UNC and UVA is that OOS students are limited to a certain maximum percentage of a freshman class: 18% for UNC, and about 27% for UVA. It’s just a hard row to hoe, for both schools.

@gandalf78 it’s tough to really compare my weighted GPA with other schools though. I probably should have mentioned this in the original post, but my school implemented a grading scale change after my sophomore year that changed the weighting of grades immensely. My weighted GPA would be much higher if this change had been made before I started high school. I believe my high school was the last school in Ohio to make this change. Ignoring my weighted GPA, would you say that I have more of a chance?

Is it on a 5.0 scale? I understand that comparing GPAs from different schools is a little imprecise; but anything you get on CC is going to be imprecise.

I think that your chances are still low, especially for UNC; but you will help yourself if you get your ACT to 34+, as well as display leadership somewhere in the ECs you have listed by the time that you apply.