<p>I know these two may not necessarily have a correlation with each other.. but does anybody know the general chance of Yale SCEA admits (assuming I did get some additional B's my first semester that brought my rank down from what it was when I applied SCEA) of getting into Harvard? I'm just curious of course, and know that in general Harvard admissions can't be predicted..</p>
<p>Anyways thanks guys!
westsideya</p>
<p>Oh and I am an ORM.</p>
<p>Wow, you have the bravery to post something like this. Well, there are 400-450 cross admits according to JHS’s estimate: </p>
<p><a href=“http://talk.collegeconfidential.com/harvard-university/1089513-h-y-cross-admit-pool-size.html[/url]”>http://talk.collegeconfidential.com/harvard-university/1089513-h-y-cross-admit-pool-size.html</a></p>
<p>I don’t know about EA, but the probability of picking a cross admit out of a pool of Yale admits is (400 to 450)/1940 = 20.6% to 23.2%. </p>
<p>I doubt that the EA admit pool is any stronger than the RD admit pool, though the applicant pools are most definitely different.</p>
<p>Of course there’s a correlation! The two colleges are, for the most part, looking for exactly the same sorts of students, looking at exactly the same data, and doing it with people who are practically interchangeable. Having been admitted to Yale SCEA, and not as a result of something specific like being recruited for a sport, means that you have a much better than average chance of being admitted to Harvard. Not 100%, of course, or even 70%, but lots better than average (and I suspect lots better than 25%).</p>
<p>Many Yale SCEA applicants don’t bother applying to Harvard, because they want to go to Yale and they have been admitted. I have no idea what the actual success rate is on the ones that do apply, but in my limited, third-hand, anecdotal experience, lots get in.</p>
<p>The only Yale SCEA admit I know who also applied to Harvard was waitlisted. Also by Columbia and rejected by Stanford. Congrats on your accomplishment and good luck at Yale, or whatever great school you attend.</p>
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<p>And all the Yale SCEA admits I know were accepted to Harvard, Princeton, and Stanford.</p>
<p>i.e. anecdotal evidence is useless.</p>
<p>^ Yes, it is… Perhaps we should get some data on this? Yale SCEA’ers willing to report H decisions (and P/S)?</p>
<p>Oh God, this thread is going to create false hope for a lot of people, though I do agree with JHS. I wonder if the probability of a Harvard acceptance given admittance EA to Yale is within someone’s amazing estimating skills…</p>
<p>I suspect that a survey of past SCEAers won’t help much. Harvard rejects would be a lot less willing to post, no?</p>
<p>“I doubt that the EA admit pool is any stronger than the RD admit pool, though the applicant pools are most definitely different.”</p>
<p>Do you mean Yale EA vs Yale RD admits? Or Yale EA to Harvard RD admits?</p>
<p>Yale early admit has excellent chances for Harvard/Princeton. I find Stanford not so easy to call.</p>
<p>Yale’s SCEA admissions rate is almost the same as their RD admissions rate. So if you got in SCEA, there is a fairly large chance you would have been accepted RD. Harvard and Yale have similar acceptance rates and admissions criteria, so you have a fair shot at getting into Harvard.</p>
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<p>wrong!</p>
<p>Yale Class of 2014
13.9% - SCEA acceptance rate
5.9% - RD acceptance rate</p>
<p>Here is a thought:</p>
<p>When is the Harvard interview for applicants?</p>
<p>and</p>
<p>Does the Yale SCEA acceptee tell the Harvard interviewer that he has been accepted Yale SCEA?</p>
<p>if so, </p>
<p>Does Harvard purposely not accept the the Yale SCEA acceptee for fear of lowering its yield?</p>
<p>Tufts Syndrome?</p>
<p>How about a MIT EA admit? Sorry for hijacking.</p>
<p>One circuit:</p>
<p>I’m pretty sure you’re reading into the percentiles wrong. I know for a fact it’s harder to get in EA than RD (at both Yale and Stanford).</p>
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<p>westsideya, well your facts are wrong</p>
<p>very wrong</p>
<p>Na, he is right.</p>
<p>The simple fact that people deferred from EA get accepted RD tells us the the level required to be accepted EA is higher than that of RD.</p>
<p>The fact that a greater percentage of people are admitted EA than RD is down to self selection (of applicants).</p>
<p>While at other, less selective schools EA (and especially ED) is easier this is not so at Yale. Read the many YDN articles about Jeff saying that anyone accepted EA would certainly have got in RD - ergo, EA is harder.</p>
<p>Personal unscientific anecdotal observation…a Yale EA’s chances of a Harvard acceptance are 40-50%.</p>
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<p>I think that would be much harder to say. Harvard and Yale are very similar schools; MIT is very different.</p>