Chances of getting into these CA schools?

My gpa’s 2.5 and I know it’s a long shot but what do you guys think of my chances of getting UCR or UCM with such a terrible gpa? I’m transferring from a community college in San Francisco. My friend got into UCR with a 2.6 so I’m hoping I’ll get lucky too. I’ve also applied to CSU East Bay, SF State, Chico State and LA State, what happens if I don’t into their sociology program for the CSUs? Am I still admitted into the school, just as undeclared? Any info would help, thanks!

You should be Ok for CSULA and East Bay. Chico/SF and the UC’s will be tougher. Not sure what happens if not admitted into your major since you need to declare a major by a junior year at these schools. Good luck.