Chances of getting into UCSB

I am trying to transfer to UC Santa Barbara. I am currently attending Colgate University, but I am also a California resident. I currently have a 3.0 GPA but my grades are drastically improving this semester. I have the required courses to be considered a transfer applicant as well as transferable introductory courses for my major heading in (which is English). What are my chances?

https://www.universityofcalifornia.edu/infocenter/transfers-major