Chances?

What are my chances of getting into Wellesley College if I apply for ED in the fall? I’m currently a junior.
UW GPA: 3.93 (including current grades):

Junior year classes:
AP English Language & Comp: A
AP US Government & Politics: A-
Honors Human Geo (I’m taking the AP Exam): A
Honors Economics: A
Honors Precalc: A-
Honors Chemistry: A+
Honors International Relations: A
CP Psychology: A+
CP Debate: A
Drawing: A

CLASS RANK - top 10% for both W and UW GPA

Senior year courseload:
AP Economics (Micro/Macro), AP Chemistry, AP English Lit & Lang, AP Calc AB (no BC at my school), and Honors Physics (no AP class, but I plan on taking the AP Physics 1 and maybe Physics 2 Exam).

I’ve had a general upward trend in my GPA: 3.75 (freshman yr), 3.95 (sophomore yr), 4.00 (junior yr)
Also, our school doesn’t offer AP classes until sophomore year, and the only class we can take is AP US History, which I did take. They’re really anti-AP for some reason.

Also, I took three years (2 CP, 1 honors) of Spanish, and I wanted to focus on social studies this year because that’s what I’m interested in. In college, I either want to take Russian or German, neither of which are offered at my school. Currently, I’m searching the web for a site so I can self-study Russian to get a head start, because Russia in general intrigues me. I could mention that on my application.

Intended major / passion:
Physics & Political Sci (weird combo, eh?)

STANDARDIZED TESTS:
SAT I (2210)
W: 760
R: 700
M: 750

SAT II:
USH: 690
Bio: will take in June, expecting high 700s to 800s

AP Exams:
US History 5
^It was the only one I could take my soph year

Extracurriculars:
Program chair at local summer camp (organizing it): (9,10)
Basketball (9)
Field Hockey (9)
Math Peer Tutoring (community service): (9,10,11,12)
Soccer Ref (paid job): (10)
Link Crew leader (help freshman): (10, 11, 12), leader for 12
Coursera course about astronomy (Duke University, no credit, just putting this on to help portray that I’m passionate about learning): (summer before 11)
School newspaper: (10, 11, 12), editor-in-chief (11, 12)
Student senate (11, 12)
Government club (11, 12)
School’s “news show”: (11, 12), co-founder & stage-director (maybe host senior year? The current host & other founder is a senior…)
Model UN (11, 12)
National Honor Society (11, 12)
Social Studies Honor Society (11, 12)

SUMMER ACTIVITIES:

9th - Program chair of summer camp
11th - Coursera course while helping sick mother recover from cancer
12th - Program at local public university about space science

TEACHER RECS
I have one social studies teacher in mind (I struggled with the classes (I had 2 classes with this teacher, who is notoriously hard) a lot at the beginning of the school year, but around second quarter I began doing very well and ended up getting the highest grade in both of her classes, so she would write a good rec), my chemistry teacher in mind, and maybe the news paper advisor (who was also my Sophomore English teacher, and I excelled in that class too). My councilor is new this year, so it will be eh.

ESSAYS:
I’m making sure my common app essays & Why Wellesley essays emphasize my passion for learning (almost all of my scarce free time is devoted to reading, whether it’s nonfic books or indepth news articles…I love learning and I want to convey that through my essays)

What should I fix? Emphasize? Advice? Chances?

Thanks! Wellesley is my dream college, I love the studious environment and education is the top factor that I consider when choosing colleges. I’m not a party person and often do spend Friday nights reading, studying, or working on things relating to my extracurricular activities.

Of course, it’s never predictable when talking about a selective school like Wellesley, but I’d say you have a good shot. I thought for sure since I had average scores and didn’t have a laundry list of awards like some applicants did, I wouldn’t get in. Luckily I was wrong! Based on my experience, emphasize what you’re truly passionate about. It doesn’t have to be incredibly impressive, prestigious, or even super unique. It just has to be “you.” Honestly, the essays are crucial. Focus on those and maintaining your grades senior year! I wish you all the best!

Also! Just some current senior advice: don’t stress too much. I know I had about 1,000,000 mini (and not so mini) breakdowns during the fall over college apps. Heck, even up to yesterday, I was anxious about waiting for my early evaluation. But looking back, the stress wasn’t worth it. Obviously it’s a busy one, but freaking out over minute details in my essays and deadlines only caused me to be more unproductive. I mean really, if I was able to get a “likely” with a couple of mistakes in my essays (that I unfortunately found AFTER submitting. ERG), sweating the small stuff didn’t matter.