Changes of Getting In?

I’ve been really worried about college lately so I just wanted to hear what people thought of my chances.

I’m an African American female, GPA at the end of this year is gonna be a bit above 3.8 unweighted I think but above a 4.5 weighted. I took 5 AP tests this year, I expect maybe 3 5’s and 2 4’s. I took 2 AP tests last year, got one 4 and one 5. I’m in a math, science, and computer science magnet program and I’m doing a research internship this coming summer. I’m on my school newspaper (I’m gonna be an editor next year), I do theater, and I’ve been involved in some community organizing for activism.

I feel pretty good about how things are going academically and with extracurriculars, but I’m worried about how people say “downward trends” are bad. I got 2 B’s in freshman year, straight A’s in sophomore year, but then in the first semester of junior year I got 3 B’s, and this semester I think I might get 3 or 4 B’s. However, I am going to apply early decision. Also, my brother goes to Columbia currently.

What do you guys think? Is the downward trend that big of a deal? I was doing a lot more work junior year and taking much harder classes, so I feel like to a certain extent it’ll be okay? Please let me know.