<p>Thx Mathmom, My daughter does have a 223 from Oct. 2012.</p>
<p>msprior1: mathmomvt gave you a detailed and correct answer, but to complete your questions in the initial post: if you make the cut-off (unlikely, as she says), you will be a National Merit Semifinalist (NMSF) – that’s what the “cut-off” determines. If you are NMSF, you can file an application to become a National Merit Finalist (NMF), a competition in which your SAT scores and grades also factor. If you make NMF (most NMSF do), then you can qualify for a National Merit Scholarship if either (1) you are admitted to a college that awards such scholarhsips or (2) you can get a corporate scholarship (usually based on your parents’ employment) or (3) you can get one of the 2500 scholarships awarded by the NM Scholarship Corporation. If you don’t make the NMSF cutoff you will be a Commended student.</p>
<p>curry007: You’ll be able to get a little better idea of your chances when the state scoring breakdowns come out (soon). You will then be able to compare TX score ranges for this past test with prior years. But no one will be able to really help your anxiety at not knowing for sure. Sorry, but you’ll have to wait until September notifications.</p>
<p>rebel11: I don’t recall a cut-off higher than 223 in any state in the past several years.</p>
<p>Mathmomvt, when psat state summaries come out soon, would you be able to get a pretty good idea as to if the state cutoff for Texas will drop a point? I don’t understand why it takes so long to release official state cutoffs.</p>
<p>If we assume 223 gets you NMSF in NJ. and my daughter got a 2190 on SAT in OCT and has a perfect 4.0 U.W. GPA is that pretty much a automatic NMF award??</p>
<p>rebel11, assuming no discipline problems and a passable essay, I’d say yes.</p>
<p>Shouldn’t the state score reports be out? I just checked my PSAT scores on CollegeBoard, and it gave me my state percentiles, which it didn’t have before…</p>
<p>Just found them too. Anyone want to tell us what to look for on these?</p>
<p>I am assuming we are looking for 99th percentile, but not positive.</p>
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<p>As Rob says, the idea is to take a look at this year’s summary compared to prior years to see if there seem to be more or fewer students in your state with top scores than in prior years. Unfortunately the state data is by subsection instead of by total, but it gives you another data point for guessing how cutoffs this year will compare with other years. I’d compare mainly to last year’s since the overall national top percentile ranges were the same between last year and this year.</p>
<p>What you’re looking for is this 2012-2013 version of this [College-Bound</a> Juniors & Sophomores | Research and Development](<a href=“http://research.collegeboard.org/programs/psat/data/cb-jr]College-Bound”>SAT Suite of Assessments – Reports | College Board) which still doesn’t seem to be out. Just knowing your percentile within your state doesn’t tell you anything as explained in post #137 – semifinalist standing is given to a specific NUMBER of participants per state based on the number of HS grads in that state. That can be a different percentile in each state because the proportion of the juniors in the state who take the exam varies by state.</p>
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<p>That is one part of this program that really annoys me (and lots of other people). I think what may be going on is that they are waiting for the numbers of kids who graduate in each state this June. They need that in order to know how many semifinalists to aim for in each state. That’s the only reason I can think of to wait so long to announce. The certainly know all the need to know about the distributions of the scores already!</p>
<p>I scored a 212 in Ohio…how safe am I? I know the cutoff 2 years ago was 214…kinda scared</p>
<p>Cubfan14…the cutoff was 212 in Ohio for 2013 so…keep your fingers crossed! good luck</p>
<p>The state summary reports have updated. Deciphering data is not my cup of tea.</p>
<p>Silvertab: we cross posted 
I started a new thread with the link, and also a short explanation of how I looked at our state’s report. I hope it’s not too confusing. Unfortunately, the process isn’t transparent, and we can only hope to make an educated guess. </p>
<p>Best of luck to all!</p>
<p>based on past years, there will be hundreds and hundreds of posts about this trying to guess what this years scores will be; unfortunately it is still an educated ‘guess’ and its a long wait until September with sometimes surprising results - it is what it is - best not to think about until it gets closer.</p>
<p>As I posted in RobD’s thread, it looks like the CA will go back up to 221 from the 220 it was for the class of 2013, unless there is enough of an increase in state HS graduates to offset it. I would love someone to prove me wrong, as my son scored a 220.</p>
<p>Any thoughts on NJ? Is 223 safe??</p>
<p>yoamagatos - in looking over the past 4 years for CA, I also think it will very likely go back up to 221 - but a 220 is not out of the question. A number of other factors come into play, but I would think that the cutoff number will not go down.</p>
<p>I got a 240 in Ohio. Guaranteed NMSF?</p>
<p>^ of course! congrats :)</p>