@hcmom65 - Yes, 221 and above.
I read that on compass education group that Texas has been confirmed at 220
Most recent calls by Art (in case you guys don’t have them):
DC = 222
MA = 222
NJ = 222
CA = 221
VA = 221
TX = 220
Who the heck is Art. I thought this thread was for confirmed by notice scores?
Art Sawyer runs Compass Prep and has been on top of making predictions about the new cutoffs for months now. Link to his blog follows. He’s also independently working on establishing cut-offs and uses CC as a source (and CC posters frequently refer to his projections and updates):
http://www.■■■■■■■■■■■■■■■/national-merit-semifinalist-cutoffs/
Trying to post updates – please correct by copying and editing as need be—
AL <=215 (reported by Art on Compass)
AK
AZ=
AR= <=214 (Guidance Counselor) post #6265
CA =221 (post #48 in this thread)
CO <=218 (post on Compass)
CT=
DE=
DC= 222 per Art at Compass
FL 215<n<= 217="" (posts="" 5924="" and="" 6215="" in="" cutoff="" predictions="" thread)="" ga=“HI=” id=“IL” =219="" (guidance="" counselor)="" post="" #5971="" thread="" <=“218” (gc)="" #6265="" prediction="" ia="" (letter="" to="" school)="" #25="" ks="">214 (post #21)
KY possible <=215 (ambiguous post on CompassPrep by Mary) ,<=216 (post #6060 in predictions thread)
LA =214 (school letter) post #6153 in cutoff prediction thread
ME=
MD=
MA=
MI=
MN 216 < n <= 222
MS=<=213 (guidance counselor) post #6240
MO <= 218 see post #71
MT=
NE=
NV=
NH=
NJ= 222 per At’s blog at compass
NM <= 217 (per Compass Prep blog)
NY <= 221 (homeschool letter) post #14
NC <=218 (homeschool) post # 32
ND=
OH <=217 (post #5888 in cutoff predictions thread)
OK <=215 ? (guidance counselor) post #5965 in cutoff thread
OR=
PA <=219 (guidance counselor) posted on Compass
RI=
SC=<= 215 - cuttoff thread post # 6310 per school report
SD=
TN <=218 (letter to school) post #19
TX =220 per Art’s blog
UT=
VT=
VA=221
WA=
WV <=212 (homeschool) post #40
WI=
WY=</n<=>
Boarding school regions
Midwest (IN, IA, KS, MI, MN, MO, OH, TX, WI) =
West (AZ, CA, CO, ID, NM, OR, UT, WA, WY) =
Southeast (AR, FL, GA, MS, NC, SC, TN, WV) =
New England (CT, ME, MA, NH, RI, VT) =
Mid-Atlantic (DE, DC, MD, NJ, NY, PA, VA) =
International=
US Territories=
Commended (national cutoff) = 209
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New England Boarding school region is 222 per a poster on the other thread.
Mass is 222 per Art’s blog
Trying to post updates – please correct by copying and editing as need be—
AL <=215 (reported by Art on Compass)
AK
AZ=
AR= <=214 (Guidance Counselor) post #6265
CA =221 (post #48 in this thread)
CO <=218 (post on Compass)
CT=
DE=
DC= 222 per Art at Compass
FL 215<n<= 217="" (posts="" 5924="" and="" 6215="" in="" cutoff="" predictions="" thread)="" ga=“HI=” id=“IL” =219="" (guidance="" counselor)="" post="" #5971="" thread="" <=“218” (gc)="" #6265="" prediction="" ia="" (letter="" to="" school)="" #25="" ks="">214 (post #21)
KY possible <=215 (ambiguous post on CompassPrep by Mary) ,<=216 (post #6060 in predictions thread)
LA =214 (school letter) post #6153 in cutoff prediction thread
ME=
MD=
MA=222 per Art at Compass
MI=
MN 216 < n <= 222
MS=<=213 (guidance counselor) post #6240
MO <= 218 see post #71
MT=
NE=
NV=
NH=
NJ= 222 per At’s blog at compass
NM <= 217 (per Compass Prep blog)
NY <= 221 (homeschool letter) post #14
NC <=218 (homeschool) post # 32
ND=
OH <=217 (post #5888 in cutoff predictions thread)
OK <=215 ? (guidance counselor) post #5965 in cutoff thread
OR=
PA <=219 (guidance counselor) posted on Compass
RI=
SC=<= 215 - cuttoff thread post # 6310 per school report
SD=
TN <=218 (letter to school) post #19
TX =220 per Art’s blog
UT=
VT=
VA=221
WA=
WV <=212 (homeschool) post #40
WI=
WY=</n<=>
Boarding school regions
Midwest (IN, IA, KS, MI, MN, MO, OH, TX, WI) =
West (AZ, CA, CO, ID, NM, OR, UT, WA, WY) =
Southeast (AR, FL, GA, MS, NC, SC, TN, WV) =
New England (CT, ME, MA, NH, RI, VT) =222 per Art at Compass
Mid-Atlantic (DE, DC, MD, NJ, NY, PA, VA) =
International=
US Territories=
Commended (national cutoff) = 209
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FL called at 217 per Art. For some reason I’m having trouble with the cut and paste.
I was just looking at the comments on Art’s blog to “Thankful”, “EM”, and “Nico”, and it looks like he has called Wisconsin at 215, Tennessee at 218, and Maryland at 221. (If I read it correctly.)
He just updated the states he has called and it does not look like Tennessee has been called yet. So, I’m still hopeful. I think he was saying that he hasn’t heard any reports of anyone getting NMSF below a 218 in TN.
I think I was typing while he updated.
Changing AL, CO, FL, KY, MD, TN, WI, WV to confirmed as per Art…
16 States confirmed at this point
Also, updated KS, UT.
AL =215 (reported by Art on Compass)
AK
AZ=
AR= <=214 (Guidance Counselor) post #6265
CA =221 (post #48 in this thread)
CO =218 (per Art’s post on Compass)
CT=
DE=
DC= 222 per Art at Compass
FL = 217 (as per Art’s blog)
GA=
HI=
ID=
IL =219 (guidance counselor) post #5971 in cutoff predictions thread
IN <=218 (GC) post #6265 in cutoff prediction thread
IA <=216 (letter to school) post #25
KS 214< n <= 217 (post #21, and Art’s blog)
KY =215 (as per Art’s blog)
LA =214 (school letter) post #6153 in cutoff prediction thread
ME=
MD= 221 per Art’s blog
MA=222 per Art at Compass
MI=
MN 216 < n <= 222
MS=<=213 (guidance counselor) post #6240
MO <= 218 see post #71
MT=
NE=
NV=
NH=
NJ= 222 per At’s blog at compass
NM <= 217 (per Compass Prep blog)
NY <= 221 (homeschool letter) post #14
NC <=218 (homeschool) post # 32
ND=
OH <=217 (post #5888 in cutoff predictions thread)
OK <=215 ? (guidance counselor) post #5965 in cutoff thread
OR=
PA <=219 (guidance counselor) posted on Compass
RI=
SC=<= 215 - cuttoff thread post # 6310 per school report
SD=
TN =218 per Art’s blog
TX =220 per Art’s blog
UT= <= 220 (Art says from CC…?)
VT=
VA=221
WA=
WI= 215 per Art’s blog
WV =209 as per Art’s blog
WY=
Boarding school regions
Midwest (IN, IA, KS, MI, MN, MO, OH, TX, WI) =
West (AZ, CA, CO, ID, NM, OR, UT, WA, WY) =
Southeast (AR, FL, GA, MS, NC, SC, TN, WV) =
New England (CT, ME, MA, NH, RI, VT) =222 per Art at Compass
Mid-Atlantic (DE, DC, MD, NJ, NY, PA, VA) =
International=
US Territories=
Commended (national cutoff) = 209
The Utah reference was my post #69 on this thread (I also posted on the other one). It isn’t super helpful since we all expect Utah to be lower, but I posted my D’s receiving letter so posters would know that results making their way west. She got her letter from her public school.
How is ART getting his scores for them to be so authoritative that this thread would use them instead of member feedback?
FL is at 217. My son found out at school yesterday. I know that Art at Compass already reported 217 for FL but since some seem to trust our information more than his I thought I would confirm.
He said that people are emailing him and messaging him their scores. @texaspg
It’s great to have several sources of verification. Whether they go to CC or Art. Chances are that the “early news” is accurate and relatively speedy in delivery as a result. Could be wrong but isn’t this process WAY ahead of last year?
Art has added some more confirmations to his blog:
KS=217
NH=216
NY=219
That is fine but Art is not the standard bearer on CC and we expect members to be able to dispute it so it is not THE STANDARD here. If Art posted something directly here, that would be a different story.
Just to be clear - As moderator, I am required not to allow mentions of blogs that are not associated with accepted news sources. I want to ensure that members ultimately are the arbiters of whatever numbers are picked if there is a dispute.