@Dante2016, you have an interesting situation. Your grades/scores and ECs are good (class rank could be better, but I am assuming you go to a highly-competitive private school) and it is possible you may be a competitive applicant without a fencing recruitment hook.
To be honest, without any national points, you may have to be.
While it may not be fair, the national points system provides college coaches with some level of independent verification of how competitive your fencing skills are relative to many of the fencers you may ultimately be fencing against in college.
Without this evaluative information, you will have to be creative.
I would suggest working with your HS/Club coach to campaign for you with the coaches at the college programs you are considering. If your current coach has good relationships, your potential could be explained in lieu of the more well-worn path of national points recognition.
As you are currently a junior, you should be aware it is also rather late in the game. Hopefully you have begun the process of contacting the coaches of the programs you are interested in. By now you should have sent a one page resume with your best fencing results and academic data and followed up with a phone call. While it is unlikely that you will make contact, it is important to get a file started.
Will you be participating at SN in June? As SN is the next/last national tournament before the formal recruiting process begins in earnest, you need to be there if you are serious about your interest in fencing in college. A podium result there would be helpful.
It is worth noting that for the academically elite fencing programs, almost all the recruiting decisions are made the days and weeks following SN. In general, by the end of SN all the coaches know who they want and make their cases to fencers and parents in those “speed dating” meetings in the food court seating area outside the venue the day after the fencer’s last event.
At these meetings, rising seniors will be able to provide their complete set of academic info (full junior year grades/test scores) and coaches will try to predict which fencers will be able to pass their admissions committee’s pre-read requirements. When recruitable fencers leave SN, they will know which college programs are (and are not) interested in them and will then wait to hear back on the results of the admissions committee pre-read.
No fencer can be successfully recruited without passing the admissions committee pre-read.
The pre-read process generally takes a few weeks, so most coaches are in a position to make formal Likely Letter offers by late July/early August.
For the academically elite schools, most of the recruitment takes place during the EA/ED season using Likely Letters issued in October to lock in these prospects. Strong fencers who are on the cusp academically, or excellent students who are less decorated fencers may still be recruited, but may have to wait for the RD season with the expectation of improved test scores, grades and/or fencing results to come in.
In my opinion, without any national point standings, it is unlikely you will be recruited for the EA/ED season.
With your strong academics, but limited fencing results, you may want to consider taking a year off to build up your national points resume. As you are young for your grade, this is not a totally outrageous suggestion. Perhaps you could move to a club that has a connection with the schools that you are interested (Cardinal/Zeta/TigerZ). Obviously, you will need to talk to the coaches at both the schools and the clubs before attempting this sort of strategy. You may want to ask this question in your email correspondences with the college coaches to get this conversation started.
Here are my comments on the schools you have mentioned:
Stanford. While they have a history of recruiting the best of the best (great academics/top national rankings in fencing), they tend to run a larger roster and recently have recruited some B rated fencers (not in the 50 on the JPL) who are interesting/great people and fantastic students. While these fencers may never see NCAA action; they are on the team and are wonderful teammates. Stanford’s head coach is a very nice (but unorganized) person who has influence on the admissions process. She is not the easiest person to reach, however as her high school aged son is beginning to participate in NACs, she is at some tournaments that a Stanford coach may not normally attend.
MIT. The coach has the reputation of not having much influence on admissions, however I know of at least once instance where a club coach helped a student connect with the MIT program. If your coach knows the coach at MIT, he/she should call on your behalf.
Princeton. The head coach has a great deal of influence on admissions but will likely require top grades, scores and NAC/WC results for anyone he recruits. However, he has said that potential is very important to him, so I would imagine he would be open to hearing about you if he knows and respects your coach.
I am sorry I can’t be more encouraging, but fencing recruiting at the academically elite programs is what it is. I am not sure it is any easier at the other top fencing programs. In any case, I think you need to enlist your current coach to make some calls and/or consider taking a year off to get those points. In the alternative, for the schools you are interested in, you can try to get in on your own and try to walk on.
FWIW, I think you should also consider Yale. Their recruiting process is not very transparent or consistent, but, academics are much more important to them than national point results.
Also, with your interest in math/physics, you may also want to consider Cal Tech/Stevens/JHU too.
Sherpa, have I missed anything?