Did my son chance himself accurately??

My son who is currently a senior believes he should have a decent shot at getting accepted to either UCF or FSU, while these are certainly places I would love to see him attend, with their rising competition in the last number of years is it practical for us to have high hopes for those 2 schools?

Colleges he also plans to apply to
USF
UNF
FIU
FGCU
Grades
GPA: 3.3(unweighted) 3.8(weighted)
SAT: 1610 he is retaking in October
Honors and Aice classes throughout highschool maintaining A’s and B’s
EC’s
-Played basketball until junior year
-Worked multiple jobs throughout junior and senior year
-200+ hrs community service
-Key Club
-Black/African American
-In state student
-National Achievement Society throughout highschool
-Has Worked as Media/Technology Director for our local church since freshman year