<p>First off, let me say that while I know my GPA/class rank are low, last year a friend of mine got in regular decision and had a very similar record to mine. He just got a higher SAT score. I expect my grades to go up significantly senior year, and I've heard that Duke defers most ED applicants. </p>
<p>That said, if I apply ED do you think I have any chance of getting in, will I probably be deferred, or do you think I'll be rejected? If I get deferred and my grades go up senior year like I expect them to, is it reasonable to think I'll get in or did my junior year completely ruin my chances?</p>
<p>My school usually sends 5-15 students to Duke a year, so I'd say it's safe to assume that they recognize us as an upper tier school.</p>
<p>Freshman Year: Top 15%, Weighted GPA 5.4 out of 6.0 (3.8?)
Sophomore Year: Top 25%, Weighted GPA 5.1 out of 6.0 (3.6?)
Junior Year: Top 35%, Weighted GPA 4.9 out of 6.0 (3.4?)</p>
<p>I go to one of the best schools in the midwest (I'm in Illinois), and my class rank is something like 175 out of 620. I think Newsweek has us ranked as the 154th best school in the country, but they only look at how many kids take AP classes.</p>
<p>EC's:</p>
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<p>I have take 4 AP classes so far, and will take an additional 6 Senior year. I have also taken 3 honors classes so far, and will take one more Senior year.</p>
<p>I've taken the SAT once, and received a 2060. 740 Verbal, 680 Writing, 640 Math. I will be taking the SAT subject tests soon.</p>
<p>I received a 31 on the ACT with writing.</p>
<p>I expect to do extremely well on the essays. I've been told by my AP Lit teacher that I'm the best writer she's ever had, and at a writer's workshop at Ball State University I took home the "Most Talented Writer" award. I also expect my recommendations to be solid because the teachers I'll be asking recommendations from have known me for 3-4 years.</p>
<p>I expect my grades to go up significantly senior year. With our messed-up GPA system I just have to pull 2 A's and 5 B's to get a 5.4 because I'm taking so many AP classes.</p>
<p>So my question is, are my odds of getting in good enough that I should take a shot at ED, or am I so unlikely to get in that I should be more realistic and apply ED to some place like Chicago?</p>