<p>I just got rejected at my ED school so now I'm so unsure of where I can get in. Do I have a chance in h*** to be a blue devil?</p>
<p>SATS: R800 M780 W780
SAT II: Math II 800, Chem 770
AP: 8 by end of this year, 3 fives and 1 four so far
GPA: 3.98/4.00
Rank:5/256
HS: Competitive Public HS in VA
Ethnicity: White
Sex: M
Recs: One excellent, the other teacher mentioned that sometimes I was very worried about my grade but she was just trying to convey that I cared about my schoolwork (don't know if admissions people took it the wrong way)
ECs: +200 hours volunteer at nursing home,
Public speaking- master of ceremonies in many events
Olympiads and intra school events
Summer Activities: college courses
varsity soccer 3 years (captain senior year)
Spanish Club (president)
Essays: literally spent weeks on them. family, friends, teachers all said the essays are awesome
FA: not applying for</p>
<p>Our school sent 3 to Duke last year (4 got in) and 1 the year before (3 got in). I have similar stats to the friends accepted the lat year but I know that doesn't mean much since each situation is different. What are my chances?</p>
<p>Yes, you have highly competitive credentials. However, since you (foolishly?) opted to apply ED to another outstanding institution, your probability of selection will now approximate 8 percent. I offer this cautionary note, because other students may refer to this thread in the future. </p>
<p>Not sure where 9 percent came from unless that’s regular decision admit rate. I’d say your odds at Duke look very good indeed. Duke admissions are a bit controversial in that applicants who make major contributions tend to get in and they admitted 260 off of wait list last year. I am not aware of any statistical correlation between being rejected ED and your chances of being admitted RD other than whatever advantage ED gives you. Your SAT, GPA and class rank are all extremely high and Duke accepts students from your school - all very strong factors in your favor</p>
<p>The eight percent is an estimate for RD acceptances backed into by noting that Duke has about 890 seats left for the class of 2019 and, assuming historic RD yield patterns, will make around 2700 admissions offers this spring to fill those seats. The wait list admissions, I would guess, more or less cover “summer melt” where some would-be Dukies take their wait list offers at other schools. </p>