<p>Please answer!!!</p>
<p>My guess is no, simply because if you aren’t good enough to get in when the acceptance rate is 14%, you probably aren’t good enough to get in when the acceptance rate in 5.5%. That’s not to say that it won’t happen. I don’t have any statistics to back this up though, but it’s not for lack of trying.</p>
<p>What I have heard is that yes if you were deferred you are given very slight preference. In other words, if two applicants were the same and only one could get in, the one that was deferred SCEA would.</p>
<p>In the day since I posted that reply, I have found numerous places saying that the SCEA pool is significantly more competitive than the RD pool, so while your chances may be slightly higher, I would stand by my initial concept that you still probably won’t get in.</p>
<p>As far as I know, there are no statistics on how deferred SCEA applicants do in the RD round, so it’s all speculation.</p>
<p>The evidence is scant. There is some anecdotal evidence that deferreds do a little better than average in the RD pool, but a limited data sample from last year’s SCEA applicants suggest otherwise.</p>
<p><a href=“http://talk.collegeconfidential.com/1062257643-post56.html[/url]”>http://talk.collegeconfidential.com/1062257643-post56.html</a>
<a href=“http://talk.collegeconfidential.com/1062257928-post57.html[/url]”>http://talk.collegeconfidential.com/1062257928-post57.html</a>
<a href=“http://talk.collegeconfidential.com/1061427249-post20.html[/url]”>http://talk.collegeconfidential.com/1061427249-post20.html</a></p>
<p>Bottom line: deferment (vis-a-vis denial) indicates you are a competitive candidate, but there is no strong evidence you will do better than average in the Yale RD pool.</p>
<p>“What I have heard is that yes if you were deferred you are given very slight preference. In other words, if two applicants were the same and only one could get in, the one that was deferred SCEA would.”</p>
<p>I don’t know if that extrapolation would hold true. Sure, a deferred EA applicant was obviously deemed stronger than the rejected EA files. And this same file will be superior to the huge numbers of rejected RD files. However, the RD files that garner interest – that’s an entire different ball game. </p>
<p>My speculation would be that the file readers will try to recall the slots already given to the EA accepts and work to fill the remaining slots with this aggregate pool of EA deferrrals and top RD files. At this point, I don’t think the deferred EA label means anything other than it (like the good RD files) passed the first cut.</p>
<p>Isn’t that the answer, though. Almost by definition, deferred SCEA applications will do somewhat better than the average for the RD pool, because X% of the RD pool never had a meaningful chance and is going to be rejected more or less automatically, and none of the deferred SCEA applicants are in that group (if they were they would have been rejected EA). Assuming that X% is some meaningful percentage (20%? 30%? maybe even 50%), deferred SCEA applicants would have to do a LOT worse than the serious-candidate RD pool to do as badly as average for the whole RD pool. By the same token, deferred SCEA applicants probably don’t do as well, on average as the serious-candidate RD pool, because that pool includes Y% of superstar applicants who would have been accepted in a jif at the EA stage had they applied then. </p>
<p>So, my guess is that deferred SCEA people do better than the RD average, but worse than the “real”, serious-candidate RD average. Whether they do a little better or a little worse than the good-not-superstar portion of the RD pool, who knows? It isn’t really worth fretting about.</p>
<p>I don’t want to sound dumb, but what is SCEA?</p>
<p>Single Choice Early Action.</p>
<p>Yale’s early action process which renders a decision by Dec. 15, does not bind an applicant to Yale upon admission, but requires all applicants to participate in no other early action or early decision process (save for rolling admissions processes).</p>