Deferred SCEA --> Accepted?

<p>This was sort of brought up in the <a href="http://talk.collegeconfidential.com/yale-university/965248-yale-2015-scea-hopefuls.html%5B/url%5D"&gt;http://talk.collegeconfidential.com/yale-university/965248-yale-2015-scea-hopefuls.html&lt;/a> thread, but I was wondering if there was a statistic for the percent of SCEA deferred students that were accepted RD by Yale. I'm just trying to figure out whether it is more advantageous for a competitive but not absolute standout applicant like me to apply RD instead of SCEA even if Yale is my first choice because the applicant pool is significantly stronger/hooked in SCEA. Also, if anyone knows whether they consider the SCEA deferrals "fresh" or not in the RD round, that info would be helpful, too. Thanks!</p>

<p>This information isn’t really known, and it’s not in Yale’s interest to reveal it. If you look at the results threads, you will see that some deferred kids are accepted, and others are rejected or waitlisted.</p>

<p>I am not really qualified to provide statistical information, but from looking at the RD results thread, I was surprised at how many people went from Deferred–>Accepted. Now that I understand the admissions process better, it seems that there is a distinct possibility of getting accepted in RD after being deferred.
About them seeing the applications “fresh”, this is silverturtle’s opinion:

From the 2015 Yale SCEA Hopefuls thread</p>

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<p>A couple of factors that are possibly affecting this: this is CC and more positives are likely to respond than are negatives.</p>

<p>Unless you have other early schools that you are interested in which SCEA would prevent you from applying to, I haven’t seen a down side to doing SCEA at Y. S is a different matter as they defer substantially fewer SCEA candidates and a non-standout applicant runs a much higher risk of not having the opportunity of being assessed in the RD pool.</p>