My S20 was in the 3.0-3.4 GPA range (lower end of that grades 9-11.0, improvement 11.5-12) and accordingly we applied to a lot of schools. In his case several schools deferred S20 from EA to RD specifically so they could see if the improvement he started the second semester of 11th grade would continue into senior year. Fortunately, he did continue his better grades and most that deferred him to RD ended up accepting him.
Also, many schools waitlisted him. Some were originally RD decisions, while others had first deferred him from EA to RD. The 2020 cycle was the first affected by C19, so itās hard to say if what happened to S20 was normal or a side effect of C19, but he ended up with several WL acceptances. Some were quite late, as in late June all the way to late July.
Lastly, a couple of schools denied acceptance for fall admission but offered January admission. January admitsā stats donāt go on any lists (example, for USNWR rankings consideration) so some schools move lower stats admits to January.
The entire process was one continuous learning experience. I found the key for me was to be flexible and be ready to respond to any questions quickly. In the end, it all worked out great for S20. With all the work youāve put in, it looks like itās going to be a great result for your student too.